Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 35°C for Wuhan on August 21, supported by consistent numerical weather prediction models showing stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover that favor daytime heating. Historical August baselines for the region average around 32–34°C, with this outcome aligning closely to recent observational trends and ensemble model consensus. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability reflects high confidence in these data-driven projections ahead of final daily readings. Uncertainties remain from potential microscale variations in urban heat islands or last-minute model adjustments, though such shifts would need to exceed typical forecast error margins to alter the result.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 21?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$36,962 Vol.
$36,962 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$36,962 Vol.
$36,962 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 35°C for Wuhan on August 21, supported by consistent numerical weather prediction models showing stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover that favor daytime heating. Historical August baselines for the region average around 32–34°C, with this outcome aligning closely to recent observational trends and ensemble model consensus. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability reflects high confidence in these data-driven projections ahead of final daily readings. Uncertainties remain from potential microscale variations in urban heat islands or last-minute model adjustments, though such shifts would need to exceed typical forecast error margins to alter the result.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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