The market consensus at 13°C reflects the strong agreement across official forecasts from MetService and global models for a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C in Wellington on August 8, consistent with August climatology where highs average near 12–13°C. Current observations and model runs show stable conditions with light northerly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal temperature variance expected through the afternoon peak. This positioning draws on real-time surface data and ensemble guidance indicating low likelihood of deviation. Only a significant late-day warming surge or measurement anomaly at the primary station would realistically shift the outcome, though such changes remain improbable given the tight model cluster.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on August 8?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 8?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$69,949 Vol.
$69,949 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$69,949 Vol.
$69,949 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
7°C or below
$522 Vol.
No
8°C
$521 Vol.
No
9°C
$689 Vol.
No
10°C
$1,672 Vol.
No
11°C
$10,415 Vol.
No
12°C
$14,145 Vol.
No
13°C
$14,078 Vol.
Yes
14°C
$13,410 Vol.
No
15°C
$10,335 Vol.
No
16°C
$3,043 Vol.
No
17°C or higher
$1,118 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus at 13°C reflects the strong agreement across official forecasts from MetService and global models for a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C in Wellington on August 8, consistent with August climatology where highs average near 12–13°C. Current observations and model runs show stable conditions with light northerly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal temperature variance expected through the afternoon peak. This positioning draws on real-time surface data and ensemble guidance indicating low likelihood of deviation. Only a significant late-day warming surge or measurement anomaly at the primary station would realistically shift the outcome, though such changes remain improbable given the tight model cluster.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$69,949Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus at 13°C reflects the strong agreement across official forecasts from MetService and global models for a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C in Wellington on August 8, consistent with August climatology where highs average near 12–13°C. Current observations and model runs show stable conditions with light northerly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal temperature variance expected through the afternoon peak. This positioning draws on real-time surface data and ensemble guidance indicating low likelihood of deviation. Only a significant late-day warming surge or measurement anomaly at the primary station would realistically shift the outcome, though such changes remain improbable given the tight model cluster.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$69,949Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The market consensus at 13°C reflects the strong agreement across official forecasts from MetService and global models for a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C in Wellington on August 8, consistent with August climatology where highs average near 12–13°C. Current observations and model runs show stable conditions with light northerly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal temperature variance expected through the afternoon peak. This positioning draws on real-time surface data and ensemble guidance indicating low likelihood of deviation. Only a significant late-day warming surge or measurement anomaly at the primary station would realistically shift the outcome, though such changes remain improbable given the tight model cluster.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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