Recent meteorological forecasts from MetService and other official sources project a daily maximum of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17, 2026, under persistent southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air masses typical of Southern Hemisphere mid-winter. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited diurnal warming amid cloud cover and occasional showers, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for the 10°C outcome. Historical August averages near 12°C provide context for the below-normal reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly shift or clear-sky heating pushing the official measurement above 10°C, though current data and timing make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on August 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 17?
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$91,676 Vol.
$91,676 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$91,676 Vol.
$91,676 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
4°C or below
$110 Vol.
No
5°C
$106 Vol.
No
6°C
$2,135 Vol.
No
7°C
$4,515 Vol.
No
8°C
$14,162 Vol.
No
9°C
$17,870 Vol.
No
10°C
$21,778 Vol.
Yes
11°C
$19,836 Vol.
No
12°C
$5,060 Vol.
No
13°C
$5,168 Vol.
No
14°C or higher
$938 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from MetService and other official sources project a daily maximum of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17, 2026, under persistent southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air masses typical of Southern Hemisphere mid-winter. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited diurnal warming amid cloud cover and occasional showers, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for the 10°C outcome. Historical August averages near 12°C provide context for the below-normal reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly shift or clear-sky heating pushing the official measurement above 10°C, though current data and timing make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Volume
$91,676Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from MetService and other official sources project a daily maximum of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17, 2026, under persistent southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air masses typical of Southern Hemisphere mid-winter. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited diurnal warming amid cloud cover and occasional showers, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for the 10°C outcome. Historical August averages near 12°C provide context for the below-normal reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly shift or clear-sky heating pushing the official measurement above 10°C, though current data and timing make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$91,676Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from MetService and other official sources project a daily maximum of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17, 2026, under persistent southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air masses typical of Southern Hemisphere mid-winter. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited diurnal warming amid cloud cover and occasional showers, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for the 10°C outcome. Historical August averages near 12°C provide context for the below-normal reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly shift or clear-sky heating pushing the official measurement above 10°C, though current data and timing make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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