Traders have converged on 36°C as the implied highest temperature in Taipei on August 17 because official Central Weather Administration forecasts and real-time observations place the daily maximum firmly in that range under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and urban heat-island effects, routinely push observed peaks 1–2°C above model guidance, supporting the market-implied outcome while historical August maxima in Taipei average near 34°C. Minor model discrepancies or localized cloud cover could still shift the recorded high by 1°C, but with the day well underway and no significant weather systems approaching, alternative outcomes remain statistically marginal.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on August 17?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 17?
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$34,423 Vol.
$34,423 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$34,423 Vol.
$34,423 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
28°C or below
$236 Vol.
No
29°C
$395 Vol.
No
30°C
$537 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,411 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,389 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,672 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,813 Vol.
No
35°C
$8,581 Vol.
No
36°C
$5,447 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$4,627 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$4,315 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 36°C as the implied highest temperature in Taipei on August 17 because official Central Weather Administration forecasts and real-time observations place the daily maximum firmly in that range under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and urban heat-island effects, routinely push observed peaks 1–2°C above model guidance, supporting the market-implied outcome while historical August maxima in Taipei average near 34°C. Minor model discrepancies or localized cloud cover could still shift the recorded high by 1°C, but with the day well underway and no significant weather systems approaching, alternative outcomes remain statistically marginal.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Volume
$34,423Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 36°C as the implied highest temperature in Taipei on August 17 because official Central Weather Administration forecasts and real-time observations place the daily maximum firmly in that range under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and urban heat-island effects, routinely push observed peaks 1–2°C above model guidance, supporting the market-implied outcome while historical August maxima in Taipei average near 34°C. Minor model discrepancies or localized cloud cover could still shift the recorded high by 1°C, but with the day well underway and no significant weather systems approaching, alternative outcomes remain statistically marginal.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,423Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Traders have converged on 36°C as the implied highest temperature in Taipei on August 17 because official Central Weather Administration forecasts and real-time observations place the daily maximum firmly in that range under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and urban heat-island effects, routinely push observed peaks 1–2°C above model guidance, supporting the market-implied outcome while historical August maxima in Taipei average near 34°C. Minor model discrepancies or localized cloud cover could still shift the recorded high by 1°C, but with the day well underway and no significant weather systems approaching, alternative outcomes remain statistically marginal.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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