Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 15, 2026, converge on a daytime maximum of 32°C under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions. This aligns closely with the city’s long-term August average high near 32°C, supported by model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and observational data showing partly cloudy skies, high humidity above 75 percent, and a chance of thunderstorms that limit extreme solar heating. The overwhelming market-implied probability at 32°C reflects this strong scientific baseline rather than any unusual event. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift to clear, stable conditions allowing greater insolation or a rapid model revision indicating stronger warming, though such deviations remain unlikely given the stable atmospheric pattern.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 15?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$77,373 Vol.
$77,373 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$77,373 Vol.
$77,373 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
$836 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,543 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,548 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,546 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,793 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,098 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$10,402 Vol.
No
34°C
$6,750 Vol.
No
35°C
$6,681 Vol.
No
36°C
$11,155 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$3,022 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 15, 2026, converge on a daytime maximum of 32°C under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions. This aligns closely with the city’s long-term August average high near 32°C, supported by model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and observational data showing partly cloudy skies, high humidity above 75 percent, and a chance of thunderstorms that limit extreme solar heating. The overwhelming market-implied probability at 32°C reflects this strong scientific baseline rather than any unusual event. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift to clear, stable conditions allowing greater insolation or a rapid model revision indicating stronger warming, though such deviations remain unlikely given the stable atmospheric pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$77,373Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 15, 2026, converge on a daytime maximum of 32°C under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions. This aligns closely with the city’s long-term August average high near 32°C, supported by model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and observational data showing partly cloudy skies, high humidity above 75 percent, and a chance of thunderstorms that limit extreme solar heating. The overwhelming market-implied probability at 32°C reflects this strong scientific baseline rather than any unusual event. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift to clear, stable conditions allowing greater insolation or a rapid model revision indicating stronger warming, though such deviations remain unlikely given the stable atmospheric pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$77,373Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 15, 2026, converge on a daytime maximum of 32°C under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions. This aligns closely with the city’s long-term August average high near 32°C, supported by model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and observational data showing partly cloudy skies, high humidity above 75 percent, and a chance of thunderstorms that limit extreme solar heating. The overwhelming market-implied probability at 32°C reflects this strong scientific baseline rather than any unusual event. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift to clear, stable conditions allowing greater insolation or a rapid model revision indicating stronger warming, though such deviations remain unlikely given the stable atmospheric pattern.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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