Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F on August 9, confirming trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin. Warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, minimal cloud cover, and light winds promoted strong daytime heating that pushed readings 6–8°F above the long-term August average of roughly 83°F. Ensemble model guidance and NWS point forecasts had converged on a peak near 91°F in the preceding days, with sea-breeze effects at coastal sites like LaGuardia adding only modest uncertainty. A late official revision or resolution tied to a secondary station could theoretically shift the exact bin, though such adjustments remain rare after preliminary data release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on August 9?
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$87,592 Vol.
$87,592 Vol.
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$87,592 Vol.
$87,592 Vol.
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F on August 9, confirming trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin. Warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, minimal cloud cover, and light winds promoted strong daytime heating that pushed readings 6–8°F above the long-term August average of roughly 83°F. Ensemble model guidance and NWS point forecasts had converged on a peak near 91°F in the preceding days, with sea-breeze effects at coastal sites like LaGuardia adding only modest uncertainty. A late official revision or resolution tied to a secondary station could theoretically shift the exact bin, though such adjustments remain rare after preliminary data release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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