Official National Weather Service observations and LaGuardia Airport station data confirmed a maximum of 92–93°F on August 7 under a persistent tropical air mass featuring dew points near 75°F and minimal mixing, which limited evaporative cooling and allowed surface temperatures to peak in that narrow band. This aligns with NOAA model consensus showing weak steering flow and above-average 850 hPa temperatures across the Northeast, consistent with the broader August 2026 heat pattern. The market’s 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement and the absence of any post-event data revisions. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential station-specific discrepancies or later quality-control adjustments, though historical precedent for such changes after initial NWS reports is rare.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on August 7?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 7?
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$93,806 Vol.
$93,806 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$93,806 Vol.
$93,806 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
81°F or below
$491 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,929 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$14,820 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$6,835 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$6,512 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$14,908 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$19,524 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$11,196 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$15,445 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$1,609 Vol.
No
100°F or higher
$538 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations and LaGuardia Airport station data confirmed a maximum of 92–93°F on August 7 under a persistent tropical air mass featuring dew points near 75°F and minimal mixing, which limited evaporative cooling and allowed surface temperatures to peak in that narrow band. This aligns with NOAA model consensus showing weak steering flow and above-average 850 hPa temperatures across the Northeast, consistent with the broader August 2026 heat pattern. The market’s 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement and the absence of any post-event data revisions. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential station-specific discrepancies or later quality-control adjustments, though historical precedent for such changes after initial NWS reports is rare.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$93,806Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations and LaGuardia Airport station data confirmed a maximum of 92–93°F on August 7 under a persistent tropical air mass featuring dew points near 75°F and minimal mixing, which limited evaporative cooling and allowed surface temperatures to peak in that narrow band. This aligns with NOAA model consensus showing weak steering flow and above-average 850 hPa temperatures across the Northeast, consistent with the broader August 2026 heat pattern. The market’s 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement and the absence of any post-event data revisions. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential station-specific discrepancies or later quality-control adjustments, though historical precedent for such changes after initial NWS reports is rare.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$93,806Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official National Weather Service observations and LaGuardia Airport station data confirmed a maximum of 92–93°F on August 7 under a persistent tropical air mass featuring dew points near 75°F and minimal mixing, which limited evaporative cooling and allowed surface temperatures to peak in that narrow band. This aligns with NOAA model consensus showing weak steering flow and above-average 850 hPa temperatures across the Northeast, consistent with the broader August 2026 heat pattern. The market’s 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement and the absence of any post-event data revisions. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential station-specific discrepancies or later quality-control adjustments, though historical precedent for such changes after initial NWS reports is rare.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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