Current forecasts and observational data from meteorological agencies indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the region, supporting peak temperatures reaching 32°C in Istanbul on August 18 amid typical late-summer patterns with minimal cloud cover and light winds. Historical baselines for the month show average highs near 29°C, yet recent model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligns with this elevated reading due to persistent warm advection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong agreement in real-time data, though unexpected shifts in sea breezes from the Bosphorus or rapid cloud development could lower the daily maximum below that threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 18?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$80,232 Vol.
$80,232 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$80,232 Vol.
$80,232 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
24°C or below
$292 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,170 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,174 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,786 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,572 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,788 Vol.
No
30°C
$14,468 Vol.
No
31°C
$13,471 Vol.
No
32°C
$11,467 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$14,202 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$7,841 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and observational data from meteorological agencies indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the region, supporting peak temperatures reaching 32°C in Istanbul on August 18 amid typical late-summer patterns with minimal cloud cover and light winds. Historical baselines for the month show average highs near 29°C, yet recent model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligns with this elevated reading due to persistent warm advection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong agreement in real-time data, though unexpected shifts in sea breezes from the Bosphorus or rapid cloud development could lower the daily maximum below that threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$80,232Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and observational data from meteorological agencies indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the region, supporting peak temperatures reaching 32°C in Istanbul on August 18 amid typical late-summer patterns with minimal cloud cover and light winds. Historical baselines for the month show average highs near 29°C, yet recent model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligns with this elevated reading due to persistent warm advection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong agreement in real-time data, though unexpected shifts in sea breezes from the Bosphorus or rapid cloud development could lower the daily maximum below that threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80,232Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Current forecasts and observational data from meteorological agencies indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the region, supporting peak temperatures reaching 32°C in Istanbul on August 18 amid typical late-summer patterns with minimal cloud cover and light winds. Historical baselines for the month show average highs near 29°C, yet recent model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligns with this elevated reading due to persistent warm advection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong agreement in real-time data, though unexpected shifts in sea breezes from the Bosphorus or rapid cloud development could lower the daily maximum below that threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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