Official temperature observations from Istanbul's primary meteorological stations recorded a daily maximum of exactly 26°C on August 16, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Real-time data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, aligned with regional synoptic patterns and urban heat island effects typical for mid-August, showed steady warming through midday before stabilization, with no exceedances of the 26°C threshold. Model consensus from global forecasting systems had projected similar conditions days earlier, and final verified readings eliminated remaining uncertainty. Only a rare post-processing revision or station-specific anomaly could shift resolution, though historical verification protocols make such adjustments highly improbable once the calendar day concludes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 16?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$35,267 Vol.
$35,267 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$35,267 Vol.
$35,267 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official temperature observations from Istanbul's primary meteorological stations recorded a daily maximum of exactly 26°C on August 16, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Real-time data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, aligned with regional synoptic patterns and urban heat island effects typical for mid-August, showed steady warming through midday before stabilization, with no exceedances of the 26°C threshold. Model consensus from global forecasting systems had projected similar conditions days earlier, and final verified readings eliminated remaining uncertainty. Only a rare post-processing revision or station-specific anomaly could shift resolution, though historical verification protocols make such adjustments highly improbable once the calendar day concludes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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