Traders assign near-certainty to a 34°C high in Hong Kong on August 8 because official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded that exact maximum air temperature under typical summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high pressure and light winds limited cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating, while the urban heat island effect around the measuring station reinforced the reading without pushing it higher. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this outcome, leaving little room for revision. Only an undocumented sensor malfunction or post-event data correction could alter resolution, both of which are rare once preliminary values are confirmed by the observatory.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$187,977 Vol.
$187,977 Vol.
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$187,977 Vol.
$187,977 Vol.
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Traders assign near-certainty to a 34°C high in Hong Kong on August 8 because official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded that exact maximum air temperature under typical summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high pressure and light winds limited cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating, while the urban heat island effect around the measuring station reinforced the reading without pushing it higher. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this outcome, leaving little room for revision. Only an undocumented sensor malfunction or post-event data correction could alter resolution, both of which are rare once preliminary values are confirmed by the observatory.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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