The near-certain market consensus on 33°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading for August 7, 2026, which aligned precisely with that threshold amid typical summer conditions. Regional forecasts from earlier in the week had projected highs around 32°C, with actual observations confirming a peak of 33°C under stable atmospheric patterns and moderate humidity levels. This outcome sits within Hong Kong's climatological August average of roughly 31–32°C, consistent with long-term trends influenced by regional warming. Only an unforeseen data revision or measurement discrepancy at the primary station could realistically alter the resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified daily records.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$288,556 Vol.
$288,556 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$288,556 Vol.
$288,556 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The near-certain market consensus on 33°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading for August 7, 2026, which aligned precisely with that threshold amid typical summer conditions. Regional forecasts from earlier in the week had projected highs around 32°C, with actual observations confirming a peak of 33°C under stable atmospheric patterns and moderate humidity levels. This outcome sits within Hong Kong's climatological August average of roughly 31–32°C, consistent with long-term trends influenced by regional warming. Only an unforeseen data revision or measurement discrepancy at the primary station could realistically alter the resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified daily records.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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