Recent ensemble forecast models from regional meteorological agencies have converged on a daytime maximum of 34°C in Guangzhou, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for that outcome under typical subtropical August conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines showing average highs of 32–33°C and minimal deviations in updated model runs, where atmospheric stability and limited convective activity support peak readings in the mid-30s. Official observational networks and high-resolution guidance reinforce this positioning, with traders weighting real-time data heavily. Scenarios that could realistically challenge it include unexpected increases in cloud cover or localized precipitation that suppress temperatures below the threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 21?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 21?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$76,522 Vol.
$76,522 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$76,522 Vol.
$76,522 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
27°C or below
$995 Vol.
No
28°C
$387 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,985 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,683 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,735 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,826 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,570 Vol.
No
34°C
$7,116 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$8,699 Vol.
No
36°C
$13,233 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$11,292 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecast models from regional meteorological agencies have converged on a daytime maximum of 34°C in Guangzhou, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for that outcome under typical subtropical August conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines showing average highs of 32–33°C and minimal deviations in updated model runs, where atmospheric stability and limited convective activity support peak readings in the mid-30s. Official observational networks and high-resolution guidance reinforce this positioning, with traders weighting real-time data heavily. Scenarios that could realistically challenge it include unexpected increases in cloud cover or localized precipitation that suppress temperatures below the threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$76,522Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecast models from regional meteorological agencies have converged on a daytime maximum of 34°C in Guangzhou, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for that outcome under typical subtropical August conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines showing average highs of 32–33°C and minimal deviations in updated model runs, where atmospheric stability and limited convective activity support peak readings in the mid-30s. Official observational networks and high-resolution guidance reinforce this positioning, with traders weighting real-time data heavily. Scenarios that could realistically challenge it include unexpected increases in cloud cover or localized precipitation that suppress temperatures below the threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$76,522Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent ensemble forecast models from regional meteorological agencies have converged on a daytime maximum of 34°C in Guangzhou, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for that outcome under typical subtropical August conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines showing average highs of 32–33°C and minimal deviations in updated model runs, where atmospheric stability and limited convective activity support peak readings in the mid-30s. Official observational networks and high-resolution guidance reinforce this positioning, with traders weighting real-time data heavily. Scenarios that could realistically challenge it include unexpected increases in cloud cover or localized precipitation that suppress temperatures below the threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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