Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models and stations, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, show Chongqing's peak temperature stabilizing near 29°C on September 12 amid stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. This consensus aligns with historical mid-September baselines for the region, where average highs hover around 27–29°C before seasonal cooling accelerates. Trader positioning at near-certainty for 29°C reflects real-time observational convergence and the low likelihood of rapid intensification or cooling on resolution day. A shift would require unexpected convective activity or measurement variance at the designated official station exceeding typical instrument precision.