Skip to main content
icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 44%

Elijah Manley 28%

Rudy Moise 8.6%

Maisha Williams 6.5%

Polymarket
BARU

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 44%

Elijah Manley 28%

Rudy Moise 8.6%

Maisha Williams 6.5%

Polymarket
BARU

Debbie Wasserman Schultz

$148 Vol.

44%

Elijah Manley

$2,185 Vol.

31%

Rudy Moise

$846 Vol.

9%

Maisha Williams

$299 Vol.

6%

Dale Holness

$1,645 Vol.

5%

Luther Campbell

$264 Vol.

4%

Mark Douglas

$274 Vol.

2%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

$785 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Redistricting approved in late April 2026 shifted Florida’s 20th Congressional District boundaries, prompting longtime incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz to enter the August 18 Democratic primary after her prior seat was altered. This move drew opposition from Black Democratic leaders and candidates who view the district as one previously drawn to ensure Black representation. In early June, several challengers including Elijah Manley, Luther Campbell, Dale Holness, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick held a closed-door meeting to explore consolidating support behind a single opponent ahead of qualifying. Wasserman Schultz holds a significant fundraising edge, while Manley leads the field of challengers in reported receipts; the resulting trader consensus reflects her incumbency advantages alongside the still-fragmented nature of the opposition.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,447
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Redistricting approved in late April 2026 shifted Florida’s 20th Congressional District boundaries, prompting longtime incumbent Debbie Wasserman Schultz to enter the August 18 Democratic primary after her prior seat was altered. This move drew opposition from Black Democratic leaders and candidates who view the district as one previously drawn to ensure Black representation. In early June, several challengers including Elijah Manley, Luther Campbell, Dale Holness, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick held a closed-door meeting to explore consolidating support behind a single opponent ahead of qualifying. Wasserman Schultz holds a significant fundraising edge, while Manley leads the field of challengers in reported receipts; the resulting trader consensus reflects her incumbency advantages alongside the still-fragmented nature of the opposition.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,447
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" di 45%, diikuti oleh "Elijah Manley" di 31%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 45¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Apr 22, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" di 45%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Elijah Manley" di 31%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.