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Pemilihan Umum·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Elijah Manley 46%

Dale Holness 17%

Maisha Williams 5.5%

Mark Douglas 5.3%

Polymarket
BARU

Elijah Manley 46%

Dale Holness 17%

Maisha Williams 5.5%

Mark Douglas 5.3%

Polymarket
BARU

Elijah Manley

$1,830 Vol.

35%

Dale Holness

$499 Vol.

37%

Maisha Williams

$284 Vol.

6%

Mark Douglas

$259 Vol.

5%

Luther Campbell

$249 Vol.

5%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

$770 Vol.

2%

Rudy Moise

$480 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Following Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid ethics investigations, trader consensus prices former Broward County Commissioner Dale Holness slightly ahead of organizer Elijah Manley in the FL-20 Democratic primary, reflecting a closely contested race with both at around 35-37%. Holness benefits from name recognition after narrowly losing the 2021 special primary to Cherfilus-McCormick by five votes, appealing to establishment voters, while Manley sustains momentum from February-March polls showing him leading and endorsements like the Alliance for American Leadership PAC. The crowded field, including recent entrant Luther Campbell, fragments support in this majority-Black district, amplified by Black Democratic leaders' recent push against outside candidates to preserve representation. Q2 fundraising reports, endorsements, and forums could tip the balance ahead of the August 18 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,371
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Following Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid ethics investigations, trader consensus prices former Broward County Commissioner Dale Holness slightly ahead of organizer Elijah Manley in the FL-20 Democratic primary, reflecting a closely contested race with both at around 35-37%. Holness benefits from name recognition after narrowly losing the 2021 special primary to Cherfilus-McCormick by five votes, appealing to establishment voters, while Manley sustains momentum from February-March polls showing him leading and endorsements like the Alliance for American Leadership PAC. The crowded field, including recent entrant Luther Campbell, fragments support in this majority-Black district, amplified by Black Democratic leaders' recent push against outside candidates to preserve representation. Q2 fundraising reports, endorsements, and forums could tip the balance ahead of the August 18 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,371
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Dale Holness" di 37%, diikuti oleh "Elijah Manley" di 35%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 37¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 37% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Apr 22, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Dale Holness" di 37%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 37% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Elijah Manley" di 35%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.