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Politik·Primer

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-19 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

Jim Schwartzel 40.3%

Catalina Lauf 39%

Jim Oberweis 11.7%

Madison Cawthorn 10.1%

Polymarket

$22,773 Vol.

Jim Schwartzel 40.3%

Catalina Lauf 39%

Jim Oberweis 11.7%

Madison Cawthorn 10.1%

Polymarket

$22,773 Vol.

Jim Schwartzel

$604 Vol.

40%

Catalina Lauf

$16,733 Vol.

39%

Jim Oberweis

$2,602 Vol.

12%

Madison Cawthorn

$1,312 Vol.

10%

Spencer Roach

$656 Vol.

5%

Bob Rommel

$865 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Catalina Lauf at 40.5% to win the open Republican primary for Florida's 19th Congressional District on August 18, driven by her strong first-quarter 2026 fundraising haul of $541,000—bringing totals to nearly $975,000 with $390,000 cash on hand—and endorsement from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, positioning her as a leading MAGA-aligned challenger in this crowded field of 13 candidates. Local businessman Jim Schwartzel holds 23.4% with superior cash reserves of $1.47 million from $1.73 million raised, leveraging Southwest Florida roots amid voter preference for district ties over out-of-state entrants. Madison Cawthorn and Jim Oberweis share 11.2% despite the latter's $3 million war chest, weighed down by non-local backgrounds—former North Carolina and Illinois politicians, respectively—and past electoral setbacks. No public polls exist; odds reflect post-filing deadline (April 24) assessments of fundraising momentum and name recognition in this Solid Republican seat.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,773
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Catalina Lauf at 40.5% to win the open Republican primary for Florida's 19th Congressional District on August 18, driven by her strong first-quarter 2026 fundraising haul of $541,000—bringing totals to nearly $975,000 with $390,000 cash on hand—and endorsement from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, positioning her as a leading MAGA-aligned challenger in this crowded field of 13 candidates. Local businessman Jim Schwartzel holds 23.4% with superior cash reserves of $1.47 million from $1.73 million raised, leveraging Southwest Florida roots amid voter preference for district ties over out-of-state entrants. Madison Cawthorn and Jim Oberweis share 11.2% despite the latter's $3 million war chest, weighed down by non-local backgrounds—former North Carolina and Illinois politicians, respectively—and past electoral setbacks. No public polls exist; odds reflect post-filing deadline (April 24) assessments of fundraising momentum and name recognition in this Solid Republican seat.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,773
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jim Schwartzel" di 40%, diikuti oleh "Catalina Lauf" di 39%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 40¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 40% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $22.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Jim Schwartzel" di 40%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 40% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Catalina Lauf" di 39%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.