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icon for FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

Jim Schwartzel 100.0%

Madison Cawthorn <1%

Catalina Lauf <1%

Bob Rommel <1%

Polymarket

$239,684 Vol.

Jim Schwartzel 100.0%

Madison Cawthorn <1%

Catalina Lauf <1%

Bob Rommel <1%

Polymarket

$239,684 Vol.

icon for Madison Cawthorn

Madison Cawthorn

$11,171 Vol.

No

icon for Catalina Lauf

Catalina Lauf

$89,484 Vol.

No

icon for Bob Rommel

Bob Rommel

$43,807 Vol.

No

icon for Spencer Roach

Spencer Roach

$42,303 Vol.

No

icon for Jim Oberweis

Jim Oberweis

$14,750 Vol.

No

icon for Jim Schwartzel

Jim Schwartzel

$38,171 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jim Schwartzel secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 19th Congressional District in the August 18, 2026, primary for the open seat vacated by Byron Donalds. He prevailed with roughly 29 percent of the vote in a crowded field that included Catalina Lauf, Jim Oberweis, Madison Cawthorn, and others. His local roots as a Southwest Florida media executive, combined with stronger fundraising and name recognition among district voters, drove the outcome in a solidly Republican area. Trader consensus at 100 percent reflects the race call by the Associated Press and other outlets. Remaining uncertainty would require an official recount or successful legal challenge altering certified results, both low-probability events given the margin.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$239,684
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jim Schwartzel secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 19th Congressional District in the August 18, 2026, primary for the open seat vacated by Byron Donalds. He prevailed with roughly 29 percent of the vote in a crowded field that included Catalina Lauf, Jim Oberweis, Madison Cawthorn, and others. His local roots as a Southwest Florida media executive, combined with stronger fundraising and name recognition among district voters, drove the outcome in a solidly Republican area. Trader consensus at 100 percent reflects the race call by the Associated Press and other outlets. Remaining uncertainty would require an official recount or successful legal challenge altering certified results, both low-probability events given the margin.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$239,684
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jim Schwartzel" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Madison Cawthorn" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $239.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Jim Schwartzel" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Madison Cawthorn" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.