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icon for FL-09 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-09 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

Dan Green 100.0%

Jorge Malavet <1%

Marcus Carter <1%

Justin Story <1%

Polymarket

$191,207 Vol.

Dan Green 100.0%

Jorge Malavet <1%

Marcus Carter <1%

Justin Story <1%

Polymarket

$191,207 Vol.

icon for Jorge Malavet

Jorge Malavet

$5,021 Vol.

No

icon for Dan Green

Dan Green

$31,520 Vol.

Yes

icon for Marcus Carter

Marcus Carter

$2,955 Vol.

No

icon for Justin Story

Justin Story

$12,109 Vol.

No

icon for Steve Rance

Steve Rance

$1,509 Vol.

No

icon for Thomas Chalifoux

Thomas Chalifoux

$62,915 Vol.

No

icon for Ben Butler

Ben Butler

$43,845 Vol.

No

icon for Howard Steven Rance

Howard Steven Rance

$10,668 Vol.

No

icon for Jorge Martinez

Jorge Martinez

$20,665 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Green secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 9th congressional district in the August 18, 2026 primary, finishing with 25.4% of the vote in a seven-candidate field and narrowly ahead of Ben Butler. Traders assign him near-certain probability due to certified results and projections from outlets including Decision Desk HQ, reflecting endorsements from figures such as Jim Jordan and fundraising momentum in the newly redrawn district. Other candidates, including veterans Marcus Carter and Steve Rance, received minimal support. Late recounts or certification disputes remain possible in close primaries, though current vote margins and rapid projections limit realistic paths for reversal before market resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$191,207
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Green secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 9th congressional district in the August 18, 2026 primary, finishing with 25.4% of the vote in a seven-candidate field and narrowly ahead of Ben Butler. Traders assign him near-certain probability due to certified results and projections from outlets including Decision Desk HQ, reflecting endorsements from figures such as Jim Jordan and fundraising momentum in the newly redrawn district. Other candidates, including veterans Marcus Carter and Steve Rance, received minimal support. Late recounts or certification disputes remain possible in close primaries, though current vote margins and rapid projections limit realistic paths for reversal before market resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$191,207
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Dan Green" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Jorge Malavet" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $191.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 23, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Dan Green" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jorge Malavet" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.