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icon for Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

icon for Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

12% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
12% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pennsylvania Senator John Fetterman remains actively engaged in Senate duties, with recent appearances defending U.S. military actions against Iran and urging Democratic unity, despite backlash from party progressives over his independent streak on issues like Israel aid and government shutdown opposition. Pennsylvania House Democrats withheld re-election endorsement support in late April, signaling primary challenge risks for his 2028 term, but no official statements indicate resignation plans or health setbacks beyond his prior stroke recovery. Absent any procedural moves like a special election trigger or withdrawal announcement, trader consensus prices a 77% implied probability against Fetterman vacating his seat by December 31, 2026, viewing intra-party tensions as future-oriented rather than imminent threats to his incumbency.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 14, 2025, 7:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pennsylvania Senator John Fetterman remains actively engaged in Senate duties, with recent appearances defending U.S. military actions against Iran and urging Democratic unity, despite backlash from party progressives over his independent streak on issues like Israel aid and government shutdown opposition. Pennsylvania House Democrats withheld re-election endorsement support in late April, signaling primary challenge risks for his 2028 term, but no official statements indicate resignation plans or health setbacks beyond his prior stroke recovery. Absent any procedural moves like a special election trigger or withdrawal announcement, trader consensus prices a 77% implied probability against Fetterman vacating his seat by December 31, 2026, viewing intra-party tensions as future-oriented rather than imminent threats to his incumbency.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 14, 2025, 7:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 23% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 23¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 23% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Nov 15, 2025. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" adalah 23% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 23% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.