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icon for Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

icon for Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

50% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
50% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing health challenges, including a 2022 stroke, 2023 depression treatment, and a November 2025 ventricular fibrillation episode requiring hospitalization, combined with reports of staff concerns and recent chief of staff turnover, have fueled speculation that Senator John Fetterman could depart before his term ends in 2029. Political isolation within the Democratic caucus, driven by his independent voting record on issues like Israel policy and Trump administration confirmations, adds pressure through primary chatter and party distancing. Counterbalancing these factors are Fetterman’s repeated public statements affirming his fitness to serve, commitment to remaining a Democrat, and continued legislative activity into 2026. This mix of verifiable medical history, institutional tensions, and personal resolve produces the near-even trader consensus on whether he stays through December 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$795
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 14, 2025, 7:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing health challenges, including a 2022 stroke, 2023 depression treatment, and a November 2025 ventricular fibrillation episode requiring hospitalization, combined with reports of staff concerns and recent chief of staff turnover, have fueled speculation that Senator John Fetterman could depart before his term ends in 2029. Political isolation within the Democratic caucus, driven by his independent voting record on issues like Israel policy and Trump administration confirmations, adds pressure through primary chatter and party distancing. Counterbalancing these factors are Fetterman’s repeated public statements affirming his fitness to serve, commitment to remaining a Democrat, and continued legislative activity into 2026. This mix of verifiable medical history, institutional tensions, and personal resolve produces the near-even trader consensus on whether he stays through December 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$795
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 14, 2025, 7:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 50% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 50¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 50% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Nov 15, 2025. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" adalah 50% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 50% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.