Mercedes commands a 45-point lead in the Constructors' Championship with 135 points after early 2026 races, including George Russell's Australia win and Kimi Antonelli's China victory, cementing trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability through superior race pace, energy management, and reliability under new regulations. Ferrari trails at 90 points with podiums from Charles Leclerc (49 driver points) and Lewis Hamilton, earning 10.5% as the closest challenger amid Toto Wolff's recent admission of them closing the gap. McLaren's inconsistent 46 points, hampered by balance issues, sit at 7.2%, while Red Bull's fundamental RB22 chassis struggles limit them to 16 points and 1.5%. Long-term development and DNF avoidance will shape the title fight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMercedes 78%
Ferrari 11%
McLaren 7.3%
Red Bull Racing 1.5%
$12,871,575 Vol.
$12,871,575 Vol.

Mercedes
78%

Ferrari
11%

McLaren
7%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Williams
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
Mercedes 78%
Ferrari 11%
McLaren 7.3%
Red Bull Racing 1.5%
$12,871,575 Vol.
$12,871,575 Vol.

Mercedes
78%

Ferrari
11%

McLaren
7%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Williams
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes commands a 45-point lead in the Constructors' Championship with 135 points after early 2026 races, including George Russell's Australia win and Kimi Antonelli's China victory, cementing trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability through superior race pace, energy management, and reliability under new regulations. Ferrari trails at 90 points with podiums from Charles Leclerc (49 driver points) and Lewis Hamilton, earning 10.5% as the closest challenger amid Toto Wolff's recent admission of them closing the gap. McLaren's inconsistent 46 points, hampered by balance issues, sit at 7.2%, while Red Bull's fundamental RB22 chassis struggles limit them to 16 points and 1.5%. Long-term development and DNF avoidance will shape the title fight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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