Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 180 points after four Grands Prix, powering their 73.5% trader consensus as title favorites through Kimi Antonelli's Miami GP victory and George Russell's consistent podiums, extending a 70-point gap over Ferrari. McLaren's 16.6% implied probability reflects their double podium in Miami—Lando Norris third—closing on Ferrari to 94 points total amid the Scuderia's Leclerc penalty drop to eighth, but both trail Mercedes' superior race pace and reliability. Ferrari sits at 5.5% following inconsistencies, while Red Bull's dismal 30 points from Verstappen's struggles caps them at 1.5%; midfield teams like Williams and Aston Martin languish far behind with minimal points, underscoring Mercedes' early-season dominance under new regulations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMercedes 74%
McLaren 16.5%
Ferrari 6%
Red Bull Racing 1.4%
$17,110,401 Vol.
$17,110,401 Vol.

Mercedes
74%

McLaren
17%

Ferrari
6%

Red Bull Racing
1%

Williams
1%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%

Cadillac
<1%
Mercedes 74%
McLaren 16.5%
Ferrari 6%
Red Bull Racing 1.4%
$17,110,401 Vol.
$17,110,401 Vol.

Mercedes
74%

McLaren
17%

Ferrari
6%

Red Bull Racing
1%

Williams
1%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%

Cadillac
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 180 points after four Grands Prix, powering their 73.5% trader consensus as title favorites through Kimi Antonelli's Miami GP victory and George Russell's consistent podiums, extending a 70-point gap over Ferrari. McLaren's 16.6% implied probability reflects their double podium in Miami—Lando Norris third—closing on Ferrari to 94 points total amid the Scuderia's Leclerc penalty drop to eighth, but both trail Mercedes' superior race pace and reliability. Ferrari sits at 5.5% following inconsistencies, while Red Bull's dismal 30 points from Verstappen's struggles caps them at 1.5%; midfield teams like Williams and Aston Martin languish far behind with minimal points, underscoring Mercedes' early-season dominance under new regulations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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