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Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

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Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

$235,370 Vol.

May 14, 2026
Polymarket

$235,370 Vol.

Polymarket
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Ukraine

$1,657 Vol.

95%

Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Australia

$11,862 Vol.

93%

Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Denmark

$714 Vol.

93%

Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Romania

$7,280 Vol.

84%

Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Bulgaria

$6,005 Vol.

83%

Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Cyprus

$17,121 Vol.

81%

Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Malta

$15,738 Vol.

75%

Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Czechia

$35,090 Vol.

71%

Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Norway

$4,932 Vol.

69%

Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Albania

$18,818 Vol.

59%

Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Latvia

$1,236 Vol.

53%

Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Switzerland

$74,454 Vol.

44%

Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Luxembourg

$22,275 Vol.

37%

Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Armenia

$12,278 Vol.

35%

Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? icon

Azerbaijan

$5,910 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Ukraine's Leléka with "Ridnym," Australia's Delta Goodrem with "Eclipse," and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund with "*Før vi går hjem*" to qualify from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final on May 14 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, implying over 94% probabilities driven by powerful entries blending emotive ballads, pop anthems, and jury-televote appeal. The April 2 running order reveal positioned these frontrunners in the advantageous late slots (10-12), boosting stage momentum amid previews highlighting their production polish and diaspora voting potential. Mid-tier contenders like Romania's "Choke Me" and Bulgaria's "Bangaranga" hold 84-86% odds on strong national final buzz, while Azerbaijan's early slot and weaker reception anchor it at 12%. First rehearsals next week could spark shifts before the top 10 advance to the May 16 Grand Final.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$235,370
Tanggal Berakhir
May 14, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Ukraine's Leléka with "Ridnym," Australia's Delta Goodrem with "Eclipse," and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund with "*Før vi går hjem*" to qualify from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final on May 14 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, implying over 94% probabilities driven by powerful entries blending emotive ballads, pop anthems, and jury-televote appeal. The April 2 running order reveal positioned these frontrunners in the advantageous late slots (10-12), boosting stage momentum amid previews highlighting their production polish and diaspora voting potential. Mid-tier contenders like Romania's "Choke Me" and Bulgaria's "Bangaranga" hold 84-86% odds on strong national final buzz, while Azerbaijan's early slot and weaker reception anchor it at 12%. First rehearsals next week could spark shifts before the top 10 advance to the May 16 Grand Final.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$235,370
Tanggal Berakhir
May 14, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 15 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Ukraine" di 95%, diikuti oleh "Australia" di 93%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 95¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 95% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final" telah menghasilkan $235.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 16, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final," jelajahi 15 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final" adalah "Ukraine" di 95%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 95% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Australia" di 93%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.