Rhea Seehorn’s dominant 81.5% market-implied probability for the 2026 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series reflects her critically acclaimed lead turn as isolated novelist Carol Sturka in Vince Gilligan’s Apple TV+ sci-fi drama Pluribus, which earned 18 nominations and already secured several technical wins. Seehorn captured the Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice awards earlier this year, building strong guild and precursor momentum that has positioned her as the clear frontrunner ahead of the September 14 ceremony. Keri Russell’s 13.1% share stems from consistent recognition for The Diplomat, including a recent SAG win, though her campaign trails in overall buzz. Zendaya, Carrie Coon, and Chase Infiniti remain long shots at under 5% each, with limited late momentum to challenge the leader.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiEmmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” 84%
Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” 12.4%
Zendaya – “Euphoria” 3.7%
Carrie Coon – “The Gilded Age” 1.8%
$35,584 Vol.
$35,584 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus”
84%
Keri Russell – “The Diplomat”
12%
Zendaya – “Euphoria”
4%
Carrie Coon – “The Gilded Age”
2%
Chase Infiniti – “The Testaments”
1%
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” 84%
Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” 12.4%
Zendaya – “Euphoria” 3.7%
Carrie Coon – “The Gilded Age” 1.8%
$35,584 Vol.
$35,584 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus”
$15,094 Vol.
84%
Keri Russell – “The Diplomat”
$9,304 Vol.
12%
Zendaya – “Euphoria”
$4,463 Vol.
4%
Carrie Coon – “The Gilded Age”
$3,412 Vol.
2%
Chase Infiniti – “The Testaments”
$3,311 Vol.
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rhea Seehorn’s dominant 81.5% market-implied probability for the 2026 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series reflects her critically acclaimed lead turn as isolated novelist Carol Sturka in Vince Gilligan’s Apple TV+ sci-fi drama Pluribus, which earned 18 nominations and already secured several technical wins. Seehorn captured the Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice awards earlier this year, building strong guild and precursor momentum that has positioned her as the clear frontrunner ahead of the September 14 ceremony. Keri Russell’s 13.1% share stems from consistent recognition for The Diplomat, including a recent SAG win, though her campaign trails in overall buzz. Zendaya, Carrie Coon, and Chase Infiniti remain long shots at under 5% each, with limited late momentum to challenge the leader.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
Volume
$35,584Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rhea Seehorn’s dominant 81.5% market-implied probability for the 2026 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series reflects her critically acclaimed lead turn as isolated novelist Carol Sturka in Vince Gilligan’s Apple TV+ sci-fi drama Pluribus, which earned 18 nominations and already secured several technical wins. Seehorn captured the Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice awards earlier this year, building strong guild and precursor momentum that has positioned her as the clear frontrunner ahead of the September 14 ceremony. Keri Russell’s 13.1% share stems from consistent recognition for The Diplomat, including a recent SAG win, though her campaign trails in overall buzz. Zendaya, Carrie Coon, and Chase Infiniti remain long shots at under 5% each, with limited late momentum to challenge the leader.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$35,584Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rhea Seehorn’s dominant 81.5% market-implied probability for the 2026 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series reflects her critically acclaimed lead turn as isolated novelist Carol Sturka in Vince Gilligan’s Apple TV+ sci-fi drama Pluribus, which earned 18 nominations and already secured several technical wins. Seehorn captured the Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice awards earlier this year, building strong guild and precursor momentum that has positioned her as the clear frontrunner ahead of the September 14 ceremony. Keri Russell’s 13.1% share stems from consistent recognition for The Diplomat, including a recent SAG win, though her campaign trails in overall buzz. Zendaya, Carrie Coon, and Chase Infiniti remain long shots at under 5% each, with limited late momentum to challenge the leader.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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