Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity underpins the market's firm consensus on the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10. Traders track his typical daily output of roughly 10-20 posts, fueled by real-time commentary on Tesla and SpaceX milestones, regulatory developments, and cultural or political topics that spark engagement. The short three-day window matches recent baseline levels without evident disruptions from travel, platform changes, or major offline commitments. An upset below 40 or above 64 tweets would require either an extended quiet period or an unusually intense burst exceeding 20 posts per day, outcomes that remain possible amid fast-moving news cycles but sit outside the dominant historical and current activity profile.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$671,988 Vol.
$671,988 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
<40
No
40-64
Yes
65-89
No
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$671,988 Vol.
$671,988 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
<40
$182,552 Vol.
No
40-64
$131,034 Vol.
Yes
65-89
$182,228 Vol.
No
90-114
$94,107 Vol.
No
115-139
$40,303 Vol.
No
140-164
$15,300 Vol.
No
165-189
$11,585 Vol.
No
190-214
$3,948 Vol.
No
215-239
$5,411 Vol.
No
240+
$5,519 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity underpins the market's firm consensus on the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10. Traders track his typical daily output of roughly 10-20 posts, fueled by real-time commentary on Tesla and SpaceX milestones, regulatory developments, and cultural or political topics that spark engagement. The short three-day window matches recent baseline levels without evident disruptions from travel, platform changes, or major offline commitments. An upset below 40 or above 64 tweets would require either an extended quiet period or an unusually intense burst exceeding 20 posts per day, outcomes that remain possible amid fast-moving news cycles but sit outside the dominant historical and current activity profile.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$671,988Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity underpins the market's firm consensus on the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10. Traders track his typical daily output of roughly 10-20 posts, fueled by real-time commentary on Tesla and SpaceX milestones, regulatory developments, and cultural or political topics that spark engagement. The short three-day window matches recent baseline levels without evident disruptions from travel, platform changes, or major offline commitments. An upset below 40 or above 64 tweets would require either an extended quiet period or an unusually intense burst exceeding 20 posts per day, outcomes that remain possible amid fast-moving news cycles but sit outside the dominant historical and current activity profile.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$671,988Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity underpins the market's firm consensus on the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10. Traders track his typical daily output of roughly 10-20 posts, fueled by real-time commentary on Tesla and SpaceX milestones, regulatory developments, and cultural or political topics that spark engagement. The short three-day window matches recent baseline levels without evident disruptions from travel, platform changes, or major offline commitments. An upset below 40 or above 64 tweets would require either an extended quiet period or an unusually intense burst exceeding 20 posts per day, outcomes that remain possible amid fast-moving news cycles but sit outside the dominant historical and current activity profile.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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