Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET, driven by public trackers confirming a steady pace of over 30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid XChat rollout buzz, Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and viral commentary on demographics and tech. No lulls disrupted his high-volume rhythm, aligning with historical weekly tallies of 200-300 and recent active days like April 21. Realistic upsets to 200-219 (0.1%) would require improbable mass deletions or tracker disputes, as multiple sources verify the count post-period close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$12,227,325 Vol.
$12,227,325 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
<20
Tidak
20-39
Tidak
40-59
Tidak
60-79
Tidak
80-99
Tidak
100-119
Tidak
120-139
Tidak
140-159
Tidak
160-179
Tidak
180-199
Tidak
200-219
Tidak
220-239
Ya
240-259
Tidak
260-279
Tidak
280-299
Tidak
300-319
Tidak
320-339
Tidak
340-359
Tidak
360-379
Tidak
380-399
Tidak
400-419
Tidak
420-439
Tidak
440–459
Tidak
460-479
Tidak
480-499
Tidak
500-519
Tidak
520-539
Tidak
540-559
Tidak
560-579
Tidak
580+
Tidak
220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$12,227,325 Vol.
$12,227,325 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
<20
$304,767 Vol.
Tidak
20-39
$60,420 Vol.
Tidak
40-59
$70,450 Vol.
Tidak
60-79
$150,173 Vol.
Tidak
80-99
$215,220 Vol.
Tidak
100-119
$210,972 Vol.
Tidak
120-139
$238,850 Vol.
Tidak
140-159
$351,286 Vol.
Tidak
160-179
$511,939 Vol.
Tidak
180-199
$878,289 Vol.
Tidak
200-219
$1,334,593 Vol.
Tidak
220-239
$892,737 Vol.
Ya
240-259
$1,028,751 Vol.
Tidak
260-279
$692,828 Vol.
Tidak
280-299
$554,573 Vol.
Tidak
300-319
$664,404 Vol.
Tidak
320-339
$532,991 Vol.
Tidak
340-359
$478,464 Vol.
Tidak
360-379
$349,885 Vol.
Tidak
380-399
$282,659 Vol.
Tidak
400-419
$298,309 Vol.
Tidak
420-439
$245,327 Vol.
Tidak
440–459
$225,085 Vol.
Tidak
460-479
$242,454 Vol.
Tidak
480-499
$184,731 Vol.
Tidak
500-519
$193,816 Vol.
Tidak
520-539
$186,997 Vol.
Tidak
540-559
$253,855 Vol.
Tidak
560-579
$203,882 Vol.
Tidak
580+
$388,618 Vol.
Tidak
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET, driven by public trackers confirming a steady pace of over 30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid XChat rollout buzz, Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and viral commentary on demographics and tech. No lulls disrupted his high-volume rhythm, aligning with historical weekly tallies of 200-300 and recent active days like April 21. Realistic upsets to 200-219 (0.1%) would require improbable mass deletions or tracker disputes, as multiple sources verify the count post-period close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$12,227,325Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Tidak
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Tidak
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET, driven by public trackers confirming a steady pace of over 30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid XChat rollout buzz, Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and viral commentary on demographics and tech. No lulls disrupted his high-volume rhythm, aligning with historical weekly tallies of 200-300 and recent active days like April 21. Realistic upsets to 200-219 (0.1%) would require improbable mass deletions or tracker disputes, as multiple sources verify the count post-period close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$12,227,325Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Tidak
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Tidak
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET, driven by public trackers confirming a steady pace of over 30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid XChat rollout buzz, Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and viral commentary on demographics and tech. No lulls disrupted his high-volume rhythm, aligning with historical weekly tallies of 200-300 and recent active days like April 21. Realistic upsets to 200-219 (0.1%) would require improbable mass deletions or tracker disputes, as multiple sources verify the count post-period close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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