Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 15-27 posts and reposts per day in recent months, centers on foreign policy updates, administration actions such as tariffs, and commentary on political opponents. This routine pace, documented across May and early June 2026 amid ongoing developments including Iran-related statements, aligns with the 120-139 range for the June 9-16 window and underpins trader consensus reflected in the 99.6% implied probability. Lower or higher buckets remain possible only in the event of a sharp, sustained deviation from these patterns, such as reduced output during intensive travel or major scheduling shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui120-139 99.6%
100-119 <1%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
$103,909 Vol.
$103,909 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
Yes
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200+
No
120-139 99.6%
100-119 <1%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
$103,909 Vol.
$103,909 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
<20
$4,294 Vol.
No
20-39
$6,433 Vol.
No
40-59
$4,748 Vol.
No
60-79
$5,135 Vol.
No
80-99
$6,379 Vol.
No
100-119
$50,967 Vol.
No
120-139
$7,279 Vol.
Yes
140-159
$5,412 Vol.
No
160-179
$4,646 Vol.
No
180-199
$4,030 Vol.
No
200+
$4,585 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 9, 12:00 PM ET and June 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 15-27 posts and reposts per day in recent months, centers on foreign policy updates, administration actions such as tariffs, and commentary on political opponents. This routine pace, documented across May and early June 2026 amid ongoing developments including Iran-related statements, aligns with the 120-139 range for the June 9-16 window and underpins trader consensus reflected in the 99.6% implied probability. Lower or higher buckets remain possible only in the event of a sharp, sustained deviation from these patterns, such as reduced output during intensive travel or major scheduling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 9, 12:00 PM ET and June 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 6, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volume
$103,909Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 6, 2026, 12:20 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 9, 12:00 PM ET and June 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 15-27 posts and reposts per day in recent months, centers on foreign policy updates, administration actions such as tariffs, and commentary on political opponents. This routine pace, documented across May and early June 2026 amid ongoing developments including Iran-related statements, aligns with the 120-139 range for the June 9-16 window and underpins trader consensus reflected in the 99.6% implied probability. Lower or higher buckets remain possible only in the event of a sharp, sustained deviation from these patterns, such as reduced output during intensive travel or major scheduling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 9, 12:00 PM ET and June 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$103,909Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 6, 2026, 12:20 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 15-27 posts and reposts per day in recent months, centers on foreign policy updates, administration actions such as tariffs, and commentary on political opponents. This routine pace, documented across May and early June 2026 amid ongoing developments including Iran-related statements, aligns with the 120-139 range for the June 9-16 window and underpins trader consensus reflected in the 99.6% implied probability. Lower or higher buckets remain possible only in the event of a sharp, sustained deviation from these patterns, such as reduced output during intensive travel or major scheduling shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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