Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The state’s consistent Democratic lean, McBride’s 2024 margin of roughly 16 points, and the absence of a contested Democratic primary provide a strong base for the party’s nominee. Forecasters across multiple outlets rate the contest Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a fragmented primary field scheduled for September 15. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and McBride’s incumbency advantages. A major late scandal, health development, or unusually favorable national Republican environment could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current candidate dynamics limit realistic paths to an upset.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiDE-AL House Election Winner
DE-AL House Election Winner
$31,416 Vol.
$31,416 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$31,416 Vol.
$31,416 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,250 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$26,167 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The state’s consistent Democratic lean, McBride’s 2024 margin of roughly 16 points, and the absence of a contested Democratic primary provide a strong base for the party’s nominee. Forecasters across multiple outlets rate the contest Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a fragmented primary field scheduled for September 15. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and McBride’s incumbency advantages. A major late scandal, health development, or unusually favorable national Republican environment could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current candidate dynamics limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$31,416Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The state’s consistent Democratic lean, McBride’s 2024 margin of roughly 16 points, and the absence of a contested Democratic primary provide a strong base for the party’s nominee. Forecasters across multiple outlets rate the contest Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a fragmented primary field scheduled for September 15. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and McBride’s incumbency advantages. A major late scandal, health development, or unusually favorable national Republican environment could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current candidate dynamics limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,416Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The state’s consistent Democratic lean, McBride’s 2024 margin of roughly 16 points, and the absence of a contested Democratic primary provide a strong base for the party’s nominee. Forecasters across multiple outlets rate the contest Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a fragmented primary field scheduled for September 15. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and McBride’s incumbency advantages. A major late scandal, health development, or unusually favorable national Republican environment could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current candidate dynamics limit realistic paths to an upset.
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