Skip to main content
icon for CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Jangka Menengah

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Jangka Menengah

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Luke Bronin 61%

John Larson 39%

Jillian Gilchrest 3.0%

Ruth Fortune 2.8%

Polymarket

$10,582 Vol.

Luke Bronin 61%

John Larson 39%

Jillian Gilchrest 3.0%

Ruth Fortune 2.8%

Polymarket

$10,582 Vol.

Luke Bronin

$4,274 Vol.

51%

John Larson

$1,491 Vol.

39%

Jillian Gilchrest

$2,216 Vol.

3%

Ruth Fortune

$932 Vol.

3%

Mark Stewart Greenstein

$1,669 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin secured the Democratic Party endorsement at the May 2026 nominating convention for Connecticut’s 1st Congressional District, defeating 14-term incumbent John Larson by a narrow margin in the final ballot. This outcome granted Bronin the top line on the August 11 primary ballot and established him as the frontrunner in trader assessments. Larson allies helped state Representative Jillian Gilchrest clear the 15 percent threshold to force a three-way contest, while lesser-known candidates Ruth Fortune and Mark Stewart Greenstein received minimal delegate support. The convention result, described as unprecedented for an incumbent in the safe Democratic district, remains the dominant factor shaping current probabilities ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,582
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin secured the Democratic Party endorsement at the May 2026 nominating convention for Connecticut’s 1st Congressional District, defeating 14-term incumbent John Larson by a narrow margin in the final ballot. This outcome granted Bronin the top line on the August 11 primary ballot and established him as the frontrunner in trader assessments. Larson allies helped state Representative Jillian Gilchrest clear the 15 percent threshold to force a three-way contest, while lesser-known candidates Ruth Fortune and Mark Stewart Greenstein received minimal delegate support. The convention result, described as unprecedented for an incumbent in the safe Democratic district, remains the dominant factor shaping current probabilities ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,582
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Luke Bronin" di 51%, diikuti oleh "John Larson" di 39%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 51¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $10.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Feb 26, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Luke Bronin" di 51%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "John Larson" di 39%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.