Skip to main content
icon for Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Ngatangiia Winner
Politik·Selandia Baru

Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Ngatangiia Winner

icon for Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Ngatangiia Winner
Politik·Selandia Baru

Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Ngatangiia Winner

Tukaka George Tamarua Ama 96.8%

Mapi Ioteva 2.1%

Itinga Maoate <1%

Christopher Robert Denny <1%

Polymarket

$33,790 Vol.

Tukaka George Tamarua Ama 96.8%

Mapi Ioteva 2.1%

Itinga Maoate <1%

Christopher Robert Denny <1%

Polymarket

$33,790 Vol.

Tukaka George Tamarua Ama

$28,741 Vol.

97%

Mapi Ioteva

$3,560 Vol.

2%

Itinga Maoate

$756 Vol.

<1%

Christopher Robert Denny

$733 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.Tukaka George Tamarua Ama maintains a commanding lead in the Ngatangiia constituency market due to his incumbency as the Cook Islands Party MP since his 2022 victory and the party's strong organizational position ahead of the August 12, 2026 general election. Traders assign this outcome an implied probability exceeding 90 percent, reflecting his established local profile, recent constituency projects such as Avana seawall development, and limited visibility for challengers including Mapi Ioteva of the Cook Islands United Party and candidates from the Democratic and Progressive parties. The Cook Islands Party's broader performance across preliminary tallies reinforces this consensus. Potential shifts could arise from final vote counts, official recounts, or late disputes in this closely monitored Rarotonga seat.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.

If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.
Volume
$33,790
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 16, 2026, 9:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.Tukaka George Tamarua Ama maintains a commanding lead in the Ngatangiia constituency market due to his incumbency as the Cook Islands Party MP since his 2022 victory and the party's strong organizational position ahead of the August 12, 2026 general election. Traders assign this outcome an implied probability exceeding 90 percent, reflecting his established local profile, recent constituency projects such as Avana seawall development, and limited visibility for challengers including Mapi Ioteva of the Cook Islands United Party and candidates from the Democratic and Progressive parties. The Cook Islands Party's broader performance across preliminary tallies reinforces this consensus. Potential shifts could arise from final vote counts, official recounts, or late disputes in this closely monitored Rarotonga seat.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.

If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.
Volume
$33,790
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 16, 2026, 9:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.

Terkait

icon for Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?

Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?

99%
icon for Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?

Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?

95%
icon for Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

55%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Ngatangiia Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Tukaka George Tamarua Ama" di 97%, diikuti oleh "Mapi Ioteva" di 2%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 97¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 97% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Ngatangiia Winner" telah menghasilkan $33.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 16, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Ngatangiia Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Ngatangiia Winner" adalah "Tukaka George Tamarua Ama" di 97%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 97% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Mapi Ioteva" di 2%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Ngatangiia Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.