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icon for Clacton by-election: Turnout
Politik·UK

Clacton by-election: Turnout

icon for Clacton by-election: Turnout
Politik·UK

Clacton by-election: Turnout

30k-40k 100.0%

<10k <1%

10k-20k <1%

20k-30k <1%

Polymarket

$58,316 Vol.

30k-40k 100.0%

<10k <1%

10k-20k <1%

20k-30k <1%

Polymarket

$58,316 Vol.

<10k

$1,082 Vol.

No

10k-20k

$16,258 Vol.

No

20k-30k

$11,654 Vol.

No

30k-40k

$18,749 Vol.

Yes

40k-50k

$6,431 Vol.

No

50k-60k

$1,753 Vol.

No

60k+

$2,388 Vol.

No

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).The commanding 100% trader consensus on 30k-40k votes cast in the Clacton by-election reflects standard patterns of lower participation in UK parliamentary by-elections, which routinely draw 10-20 percentage points below general election levels due to reduced media focus, absent national party mobilization, and voter fatigue. The contest, triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation and held on 13 August 2026 with a record 34 candidates including multiple independents and novelty entrants, produced a confirmed turnout of 44.4% (35,111 votes) from an electorate of roughly 79,785— squarely within the range and higher than some comparable low-profile by-elections yet below the prior general election figure. Late developments such as the extended ballot paper and limited mainstream party involvement reinforced expectations of modest mobilization. Scenarios that could still have altered the outcome include sudden high-profile campaign surges or unusually strong local turnout drives, though none materialized to shift the final verified count.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volume
$58,316
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 17, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).The commanding 100% trader consensus on 30k-40k votes cast in the Clacton by-election reflects standard patterns of lower participation in UK parliamentary by-elections, which routinely draw 10-20 percentage points below general election levels due to reduced media focus, absent national party mobilization, and voter fatigue. The contest, triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation and held on 13 August 2026 with a record 34 candidates including multiple independents and novelty entrants, produced a confirmed turnout of 44.4% (35,111 votes) from an electorate of roughly 79,785— squarely within the range and higher than some comparable low-profile by-elections yet below the prior general election figure. Late developments such as the extended ballot paper and limited mainstream party involvement reinforced expectations of modest mobilization. Scenarios that could still have altered the outcome include sudden high-profile campaign surges or unusually strong local turnout drives, though none materialized to shift the final verified count.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volume
$58,316
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 17, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Clacton by-election: Turnout" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "30k-40k" di 100%, diikuti oleh "<10k" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Clacton by-election: Turnout" telah menghasilkan $58.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 17, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Clacton by-election: Turnout," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Clacton by-election: Turnout" adalah "30k-40k" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "<10k" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Clacton by-election: Turnout" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.