California's 36th congressional district has long shown a pronounced Democratic lean in voter registration and recent election results, anchoring the current trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee. This positioning stems from consistent margins in prior cycles and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. No major candidate announcements, polling shifts, or external developments have emerged in the past month to narrow the gap ahead of the primary and general election timeline. Scenarios that could still alter the outlook include a significant late scandal involving the leading candidate or an unusually strong national Republican wave that boosts turnout and fundraising for the challenger.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-36 House Election Winner
CA-36 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,296 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$4,386 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 36th congressional district has long shown a pronounced Democratic lean in voter registration and recent election results, anchoring the current trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee. This positioning stems from consistent margins in prior cycles and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. No major candidate announcements, polling shifts, or external developments have emerged in the past month to narrow the gap ahead of the primary and general election timeline. Scenarios that could still alter the outlook include a significant late scandal involving the leading candidate or an unusually strong national Republican wave that boosts turnout and fundraising for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$9,683Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 36th congressional district has long shown a pronounced Democratic lean in voter registration and recent election results, anchoring the current trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee. This positioning stems from consistent margins in prior cycles and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. No major candidate announcements, polling shifts, or external developments have emerged in the past month to narrow the gap ahead of the primary and general election timeline. Scenarios that could still alter the outlook include a significant late scandal involving the leading candidate or an unusually strong national Republican wave that boosts turnout and fundraising for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,683Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 36th congressional district has long shown a pronounced Democratic lean in voter registration and recent election results, anchoring the current trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee. This positioning stems from consistent margins in prior cycles and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. No major candidate announcements, polling shifts, or external developments have emerged in the past month to narrow the gap ahead of the primary and general election timeline. Scenarios that could still alter the outlook include a significant late scandal involving the leading candidate or an unusually strong national Republican wave that boosts turnout and fundraising for the challenger.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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