Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's commanding fundraising lead—$656,000 cash on hand as of late March—and the district's D+18 partisan voter index underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5% in California's 10th Congressional District House race. This East Bay seat, where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024, features minimal Republican challengers like Katherine Piccinini, who garnered just 33.5% against DeSaulnier last cycle. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where DeSaulnier is poised to advance easily. A Republican upset would require a surprise primary finish paired with national GOP momentum, scandal, or health issues sidelining the incumbent—low-probability barriers in this safe Democratic stronghold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-10 House Election Winner
CA-10 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,471 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$3,313 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's commanding fundraising lead—$656,000 cash on hand as of late March—and the district's D+18 partisan voter index underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5% in California's 10th Congressional District House race. This East Bay seat, where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024, features minimal Republican challengers like Katherine Piccinini, who garnered just 33.5% against DeSaulnier last cycle. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where DeSaulnier is poised to advance easily. A Republican upset would require a surprise primary finish paired with national GOP momentum, scandal, or health issues sidelining the incumbent—low-probability barriers in this safe Democratic stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$8,784Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's commanding fundraising lead—$656,000 cash on hand as of late March—and the district's D+18 partisan voter index underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5% in California's 10th Congressional District House race. This East Bay seat, where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024, features minimal Republican challengers like Katherine Piccinini, who garnered just 33.5% against DeSaulnier last cycle. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where DeSaulnier is poised to advance easily. A Republican upset would require a surprise primary finish paired with national GOP momentum, scandal, or health issues sidelining the incumbent—low-probability barriers in this safe Democratic stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,784Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's commanding fundraising lead—$656,000 cash on hand as of late March—and the district's D+18 partisan voter index underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5% in California's 10th Congressional District House race. This East Bay seat, where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024, features minimal Republican challengers like Katherine Piccinini, who garnered just 33.5% against DeSaulnier last cycle. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where DeSaulnier is poised to advance easily. A Republican upset would require a surprise primary finish paired with national GOP momentum, scandal, or health issues sidelining the incumbent—low-probability barriers in this safe Democratic stronghold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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