Skip to main content
icon for CA-06 Primary Winners
Pemilihan Umum·House Primary

CA-06 Primary Winners

icon for CA-06 Primary Winners
Pemilihan Umum·House Primary

CA-06 Primary Winners

$7,284 Vol.

Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$7,284 Vol.

Polymarket

Lauren Babb Tomlinson

$1,014 Vol.

No

Michael Stansfield

$1,695 Vol.

No

Thien Ho

$1,506 Vol.

No

Kevin Kiley

$899 Vol.

Yes

Martha Guerrero

$614 Vol.

No

Richard Pan

$612 Vol.

Yes

Tyler Vandenberg

$945 Vol.

No

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Kevin Kiley, running as an independent after switching from the Republican Party, and Democrat Richard Pan advanced from California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary in the newly redrawn 6th Congressional District. Redistricting shifted the Sacramento-area seat, prompting former incumbent Ami Bera to run elsewhere and drawing multiple Democratic challengers including Thien Ho, Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and Martha Guerrero. Vote splitting among Democrats combined with Kiley's name recognition allowed the two to secure the highest shares despite a fragmented field. Trader consensus on these outcomes reflects the primary results and California's nonpartisan primary rules, with the general election now set for November. No further primary developments remain.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,284
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Kevin Kiley, running as an independent after switching from the Republican Party, and Democrat Richard Pan advanced from California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary in the newly redrawn 6th Congressional District. Redistricting shifted the Sacramento-area seat, prompting former incumbent Ami Bera to run elsewhere and drawing multiple Democratic challengers including Thien Ho, Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and Martha Guerrero. Vote splitting among Democrats combined with Kiley's name recognition allowed the two to secure the highest shares despite a fragmented field. Trader consensus on these outcomes reflects the primary results and California's nonpartisan primary rules, with the general election now set for November. No further primary developments remain.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,284
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

Terkait

icon for Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?

93%
icon for Will Eric Yonce be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?

Will Eric Yonce be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?

73%
icon for Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?

Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?

67%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"CA-06 Primary Winners" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Kevin Kiley" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Richard Pan" di 100%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"CA-06 Primary Winners" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Apr 22, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "CA-06 Primary Winners," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "CA-06 Primary Winners" adalah "Kevin Kiley" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Richard Pan" di 100%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "CA-06 Primary Winners" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.