Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Roraima for first place in the October 4 first round, driven by sustained alignment with Liberal Party voters and the broader right-wing base in this northern state. A late-August Quaest survey showed him at 52% against Lula at 17%, with other candidates in single digits. This mirrors Jair Bolsonaro’s over-75% share in the 2022 first round and follows the June supplementary gubernatorial win by PL ally Arthur Henrique with roughly 61%. Regional patterns favoring PL candidates in neighboring northern states, combined with emphasis on agricultural interests and evangelical priorities, reinforce trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Fragmentation among additional right-wing names or unexpected shifts in turnout could narrow margins, though no such developments have materialized in recent state-level data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFlavio Bolsonaro 97.4%
Lula 1.9%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
97%
Lula
2%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.4%
Lula 1.9%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3,571 Vol.
97%
Lula
$657 Vol.
2%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$424 Vol.
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$560 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$417 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$498 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$528 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$492 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$448 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$448 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$448 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$416 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$418 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Roraima for first place in the October 4 first round, driven by sustained alignment with Liberal Party voters and the broader right-wing base in this northern state. A late-August Quaest survey showed him at 52% against Lula at 17%, with other candidates in single digits. This mirrors Jair Bolsonaro’s over-75% share in the 2022 first round and follows the June supplementary gubernatorial win by PL ally Arthur Henrique with roughly 61%. Regional patterns favoring PL candidates in neighboring northern states, combined with emphasis on agricultural interests and evangelical priorities, reinforce trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Fragmentation among additional right-wing names or unexpected shifts in turnout could narrow margins, though no such developments have materialized in recent state-level data.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Volume
$9,323Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Roraima for first place in the October 4 first round, driven by sustained alignment with Liberal Party voters and the broader right-wing base in this northern state. A late-August Quaest survey showed him at 52% against Lula at 17%, with other candidates in single digits. This mirrors Jair Bolsonaro’s over-75% share in the 2022 first round and follows the June supplementary gubernatorial win by PL ally Arthur Henrique with roughly 61%. Regional patterns favoring PL candidates in neighboring northern states, combined with emphasis on agricultural interests and evangelical priorities, reinforce trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Fragmentation among additional right-wing names or unexpected shifts in turnout could narrow margins, though no such developments have materialized in recent state-level data.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,323Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Roraima for first place in the October 4 first round, driven by sustained alignment with Liberal Party voters and the broader right-wing base in this northern state. A late-August Quaest survey showed him at 52% against Lula at 17%, with other candidates in single digits. This mirrors Jair Bolsonaro’s over-75% share in the 2022 first round and follows the June supplementary gubernatorial win by PL ally Arthur Henrique with roughly 61%. Regional patterns favoring PL candidates in neighboring northern states, combined with emphasis on agricultural interests and evangelical priorities, reinforce trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Fragmentation among additional right-wing names or unexpected shifts in turnout could narrow margins, though no such developments have materialized in recent state-level data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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