Skip to main content

Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul
Pemilihan Umum·Main Election

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul
Pemilihan Umum·Main Election

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul

Flavio Bolsonaro 88%

Lula 12%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Zema <1%

Polymarket

$22,073 Vol.

Flavio Bolsonaro 88%

Lula 12%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Zema <1%

Polymarket

$22,073 Vol.

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$7,420 Vol.

88%

icon for Lula

Lula

$3,650 Vol.

12%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$1,437 Vol.

1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$1,173 Vol.

1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$591 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$1,087 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$1,417 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$1,171 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$493 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$858 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$641 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$1,376 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$759 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in trader pricing for first place in Rio Grande do Sul’s presidential first round, reflecting consistent local polling advantages over incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and a fragmented field of other contenders. Recent surveys in the state, including June and August 2026 releases, show the PL senator holding leads or technical ties in first-round scenarios (often 34–42% versus Lula’s 28–39%), with right-leaning voters consolidating behind the Bolsonaro-aligned candidate in a traditionally conservative region. Lower single-digit support for figures such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury has not shifted materially, while national polling aggregates indicate tighter overall races that do not override RS-specific patterns. Traders appear to weigh the state’s electoral dynamics, limited recent volatility in candidate positioning, and the October 4 first-round timeline as factors sustaining this implied probability distribution.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$22,073
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in trader pricing for first place in Rio Grande do Sul’s presidential first round, reflecting consistent local polling advantages over incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and a fragmented field of other contenders. Recent surveys in the state, including June and August 2026 releases, show the PL senator holding leads or technical ties in first-round scenarios (often 34–42% versus Lula’s 28–39%), with right-leaning voters consolidating behind the Bolsonaro-aligned candidate in a traditionally conservative region. Lower single-digit support for figures such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury has not shifted materially, while national polling aggregates indicate tighter overall races that do not override RS-specific patterns. Traders appear to weigh the state’s electoral dynamics, limited recent volatility in candidate positioning, and the October 4 first-round timeline as factors sustaining this implied probability distribution.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$22,073
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?

98%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

83%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?

95%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 13 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Flavio Bolsonaro" di 88%, diikuti oleh "Lula" di 12%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 88¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 88% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul" telah menghasilkan $22.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul," jelajahi 13 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul" adalah "Flavio Bolsonaro" di 88%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 88% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Lula" di 12%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.