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icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte
Politik·Brasil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte
Politik·Brasil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte

Lula 97.4%

Ronaldo Caiado <1%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Polymarket
BARU

Lula 97.4%

Ronaldo Caiado <1%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Lula

Lula

$3,225 Vol.

97%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$512 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$512 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$512 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$512 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$512 Vol.

<1%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$512 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$512 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$512 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$512 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$512 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$512 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$512 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Rio Grande do Norte first-round polling, with recent state surveys showing him at 47-58% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 20-29% and all other candidates in single digits or lower. This positioning reflects entrenched Northeast voter preferences for the incumbent PT president, reinforced by alignment on social programs and economic policies. Opposition support remains fragmented across multiple right-leaning contenders including Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury, preventing any single challenger from consolidating enough votes for a plurality. With the October 4 first round approaching, trader consensus at 97.5% for Lula tracks these consistent regional gaps, though late campaign shifts, turnout variations, or unexpected national events could still narrow the margin in the final weeks.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,370
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Rio Grande do Norte first-round polling, with recent state surveys showing him at 47-58% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 20-29% and all other candidates in single digits or lower. This positioning reflects entrenched Northeast voter preferences for the incumbent PT president, reinforced by alignment on social programs and economic policies. Opposition support remains fragmented across multiple right-leaning contenders including Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury, preventing any single challenger from consolidating enough votes for a plurality. With the October 4 first round approaching, trader consensus at 97.5% for Lula tracks these consistent regional gaps, though late campaign shifts, turnout variations, or unexpected national events could still narrow the margin in the final weeks.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,370
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?

89%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

90%
icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?

97%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 13 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Lula" di 97%, diikuti oleh "Ronaldo Caiado" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 97¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 97% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte," jelajahi 13 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte" adalah "Lula" di 97%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 97% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Ronaldo Caiado" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.