**Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Rio de Janeiro state polls for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting his status as the sitting senator from the state and the Liberal Party nominee carrying forward the Bolsonaro movement.** Recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys in Rio show him ahead of President Lula by narrow margins (34-39% to 32-35%), with other registered candidates such as writer Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos trailing well behind in single digits. His local base, combined with right-wing consolidation in the state, underpins the market's strong pricing for him over Lula and the broader field. A newly public corruption investigation into alleged film financing has surfaced in national coverage but has not shifted state-level preferences in the latest available data. The tight national race and institutional tensions around the Supreme Court continue to frame voter sentiment heading into the final weeks before voting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFlavio Bolsonaro 84%
Lula 8%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$24,904 Vol.
$24,904 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
84%
Lula
8%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 84%
Lula 8%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$24,904 Vol.
$24,904 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$10,947 Vol.
84%
Lula
$7,720 Vol.
8%
Clariana Barao
$375 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$453 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$453 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$373 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$1,393 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$747 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$639 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$431 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$433 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$567 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$373 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Rio de Janeiro state polls for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting his status as the sitting senator from the state and the Liberal Party nominee carrying forward the Bolsonaro movement.** Recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys in Rio show him ahead of President Lula by narrow margins (34-39% to 32-35%), with other registered candidates such as writer Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos trailing well behind in single digits. His local base, combined with right-wing consolidation in the state, underpins the market's strong pricing for him over Lula and the broader field. A newly public corruption investigation into alleged film financing has surfaced in national coverage but has not shifted state-level preferences in the latest available data. The tight national race and institutional tensions around the Supreme Court continue to frame voter sentiment heading into the final weeks before voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Volume
$24,904Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Rio de Janeiro state polls for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting his status as the sitting senator from the state and the Liberal Party nominee carrying forward the Bolsonaro movement.** Recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys in Rio show him ahead of President Lula by narrow margins (34-39% to 32-35%), with other registered candidates such as writer Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos trailing well behind in single digits. His local base, combined with right-wing consolidation in the state, underpins the market's strong pricing for him over Lula and the broader field. A newly public corruption investigation into alleged film financing has surfaced in national coverage but has not shifted state-level preferences in the latest available data. The tight national race and institutional tensions around the Supreme Court continue to frame voter sentiment heading into the final weeks before voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$24,904Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Rio de Janeiro state polls for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting his status as the sitting senator from the state and the Liberal Party nominee carrying forward the Bolsonaro movement.** Recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys in Rio show him ahead of President Lula by narrow margins (34-39% to 32-35%), with other registered candidates such as writer Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos trailing well behind in single digits. His local base, combined with right-wing consolidation in the state, underpins the market's strong pricing for him over Lula and the broader field. A newly public corruption investigation into alleged film financing has surfaced in national coverage but has not shifted state-level preferences in the latest available data. The tight national race and institutional tensions around the Supreme Court continue to frame voter sentiment heading into the final weeks before voting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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