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icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Piauí

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Piauí

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Piauí

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Piauí

Lula 98.0%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%

Samara <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Polymarket

$12,048 Vol.

Lula 98.0%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%

Samara <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Polymarket

$12,048 Vol.

icon for Lula

Lula

$7,289 Vol.

98%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$374 Vol.

1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$292 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$428 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$457 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$362 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$367 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$452 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$362 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$456 Vol.

<1%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$388 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$372 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$452 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position in Piauí for first-round first place due to the state's consistent strong support for the Workers' Party and the incumbent president, reflected in recent state-specific polling showing him at 60-64% against single-digit or low-teen figures for rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. This regional advantage aligns with Lula's 2022 results in the Northeast and current government approval levels near 64% in the state. Trader consensus at 98% for Lula incorporates the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in local dynamics ahead of the October 4 first round. Potential disruptions remain limited to unforeseen national developments like sudden policy reversals or health-related campaign interruptions that could alter turnout or voter sentiment before voting concludes.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$12,048
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position in Piauí for first-round first place due to the state's consistent strong support for the Workers' Party and the incumbent president, reflected in recent state-specific polling showing him at 60-64% against single-digit or low-teen figures for rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. This regional advantage aligns with Lula's 2022 results in the Northeast and current government approval levels near 64% in the state. Trader consensus at 98% for Lula incorporates the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in local dynamics ahead of the October 4 first round. Potential disruptions remain limited to unforeseen national developments like sudden policy reversals or health-related campaign interruptions that could alter turnout or voter sentiment before voting concludes.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$12,048
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Piauí" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 13 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Lula" di 98%, diikuti oleh "Veterinário Wilson Grassi" di 1%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 98¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Piauí" telah menghasilkan $12K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Piauí," jelajahi 13 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Piauí" adalah "Lula" di 98%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Veterinário Wilson Grassi" di 1%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Piauí" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.