Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for the 2026 first-round presidential contest, reflecting the state's longstanding status as a Northeast PT stronghold where recent Datafolha and Quaest surveys place him at 54-55% against Flávio Bolsonaro's 19-24% and single-digit shares for all other candidates. This positioning aligns with consistent government approval metrics near 60% and the absence of major campaign disruptions or endorsements that have altered statewide intentions since the formal period began. Trader consensus near 96% tracks these repeated samples showing double-digit margins. Potential shifts could still arise from late-campaign turnout changes, coalition realignments, or eligibility rulings, though no such developments have materialized in the latest August-September polling.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLula 96.8%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.5%
Zema <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$10,145 Vol.
$10,145 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
2%
Zema
1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Lula 96.8%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.5%
Zema <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$10,145 Vol.
$10,145 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$6,097 Vol.
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$397 Vol.
2%
Zema
$339 Vol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$319 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$319 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$334 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$334 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$323 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$356 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$411 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$334 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$291 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$290 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for the 2026 first-round presidential contest, reflecting the state's longstanding status as a Northeast PT stronghold where recent Datafolha and Quaest surveys place him at 54-55% against Flávio Bolsonaro's 19-24% and single-digit shares for all other candidates. This positioning aligns with consistent government approval metrics near 60% and the absence of major campaign disruptions or endorsements that have altered statewide intentions since the formal period began. Trader consensus near 96% tracks these repeated samples showing double-digit margins. Potential shifts could still arise from late-campaign turnout changes, coalition realignments, or eligibility rulings, though no such developments have materialized in the latest August-September polling.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Volume
$10,145Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for the 2026 first-round presidential contest, reflecting the state's longstanding status as a Northeast PT stronghold where recent Datafolha and Quaest surveys place him at 54-55% against Flávio Bolsonaro's 19-24% and single-digit shares for all other candidates. This positioning aligns with consistent government approval metrics near 60% and the absence of major campaign disruptions or endorsements that have altered statewide intentions since the formal period began. Trader consensus near 96% tracks these repeated samples showing double-digit margins. Potential shifts could still arise from late-campaign turnout changes, coalition realignments, or eligibility rulings, though no such developments have materialized in the latest August-September polling.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$10,145Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for the 2026 first-round presidential contest, reflecting the state's longstanding status as a Northeast PT stronghold where recent Datafolha and Quaest surveys place him at 54-55% against Flávio Bolsonaro's 19-24% and single-digit shares for all other candidates. This positioning aligns with consistent government approval metrics near 60% and the absence of major campaign disruptions or endorsements that have altered statewide intentions since the formal period began. Trader consensus near 96% tracks these repeated samples showing double-digit margins. Potential shifts could still arise from late-campaign turnout changes, coalition realignments, or eligibility rulings, though no such developments have materialized in the latest August-September polling.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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