Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Paraná polling for the 2026 first round, with recent surveys showing him at 45% against Lula’s 29% and no other candidate above 5%. This positioning stems from sustained conservative support in the state, bolstered by the Liberal Party candidate’s association with his father’s prior administration and targeted campaign activity, including visits to key areas. National right-wing momentum from institutional developments has reinforced local trends, as reflected in the market’s implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from the unfolding corruption investigation into campaign-related financing or stronger performances by minor candidates if undecided voters consolidate differently before the October vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFlavio Bolsonaro 96%
Lula 2.8%
Renan Santos <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
96%
Lula
3%
Renan Santos
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Zema
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Samara
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 96%
Lula 2.8%
Renan Santos <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3,855 Vol.
96%
Lula
$346 Vol.
3%
Renan Santos
$357 Vol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$537 Vol.
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$483 Vol.
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$547 Vol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$429 Vol.
1%
Zema
$538 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$608 Vol.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$498 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$578 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$532 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$587 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Paraná polling for the 2026 first round, with recent surveys showing him at 45% against Lula’s 29% and no other candidate above 5%. This positioning stems from sustained conservative support in the state, bolstered by the Liberal Party candidate’s association with his father’s prior administration and targeted campaign activity, including visits to key areas. National right-wing momentum from institutional developments has reinforced local trends, as reflected in the market’s implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from the unfolding corruption investigation into campaign-related financing or stronger performances by minor candidates if undecided voters consolidate differently before the October vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Volume
$9,896Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Paraná polling for the 2026 first round, with recent surveys showing him at 45% against Lula’s 29% and no other candidate above 5%. This positioning stems from sustained conservative support in the state, bolstered by the Liberal Party candidate’s association with his father’s prior administration and targeted campaign activity, including visits to key areas. National right-wing momentum from institutional developments has reinforced local trends, as reflected in the market’s implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from the unfolding corruption investigation into campaign-related financing or stronger performances by minor candidates if undecided voters consolidate differently before the October vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,896Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Paraná polling for the 2026 first round, with recent surveys showing him at 45% against Lula’s 29% and no other candidate above 5%. This positioning stems from sustained conservative support in the state, bolstered by the Liberal Party candidate’s association with his father’s prior administration and targeted campaign activity, including visits to key areas. National right-wing momentum from institutional developments has reinforced local trends, as reflected in the market’s implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from the unfolding corruption investigation into campaign-related financing or stronger performances by minor candidates if undecided voters consolidate differently before the October vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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