Lula maintains a commanding position for first place in Paraíba's October 4 first round, with recent state-specific polls from AtlasIntel, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data showing him at 50-55% support against single-digit or low-20s figures for rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. Northeast regional voting patterns, combined with Lula's 55-61% government approval and comparatively lower rejection levels in the state, underpin trader consensus on his frontrunner status. No major developments in the past 30 days have narrowed this gap. Late national momentum shifts, health events, or turnout surprises could still alter outcomes before voting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLula 97.5%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
$40,060 Vol.
$40,060 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
98%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Samara
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Zema
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Lula 97.5%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
$40,060 Vol.
$40,060 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$32,059 Vol.
98%
Ronaldo Caiado
$633 Vol.
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$879 Vol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$713 Vol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$633 Vol.
1%
Samara
$633 Vol.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$633 Vol.
1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$654 Vol.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$633 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$684 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$633 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$638 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$633 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position for first place in Paraíba's October 4 first round, with recent state-specific polls from AtlasIntel, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data showing him at 50-55% support against single-digit or low-20s figures for rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. Northeast regional voting patterns, combined with Lula's 55-61% government approval and comparatively lower rejection levels in the state, underpin trader consensus on his frontrunner status. No major developments in the past 30 days have narrowed this gap. Late national momentum shifts, health events, or turnout surprises could still alter outcomes before voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Volume
$40,060Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position for first place in Paraíba's October 4 first round, with recent state-specific polls from AtlasIntel, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data showing him at 50-55% support against single-digit or low-20s figures for rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. Northeast regional voting patterns, combined with Lula's 55-61% government approval and comparatively lower rejection levels in the state, underpin trader consensus on his frontrunner status. No major developments in the past 30 days have narrowed this gap. Late national momentum shifts, health events, or turnout surprises could still alter outcomes before voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$40,060Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding position for first place in Paraíba's October 4 first round, with recent state-specific polls from AtlasIntel, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data showing him at 50-55% support against single-digit or low-20s figures for rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. Northeast regional voting patterns, combined with Lula's 55-61% government approval and comparatively lower rejection levels in the state, underpin trader consensus on his frontrunner status. No major developments in the past 30 days have narrowed this gap. Late national momentum shifts, health events, or turnout surprises could still alter outcomes before voting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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