Lula maintains a commanding position in Pará for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential first round, driven by his incumbency, established support among northern voters, and consistent polling leads over challengers like Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent state-specific surveys show the president ahead by margins outside the error range in stimulated first-round scenarios, bolstered by campaign focus on regional priorities such as infrastructure and resource policies. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns of strong PT performance in the state. Late developments, including shifts in national sentiment from institutional disputes or changes in turnout among key blocs, represent the primary variables that could narrow the gap before October voting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLula 90%
Flavio Bolsonaro 5.0%
Ronaldo Caiado 3.8%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
$19,739 Vol.
$19,739 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
90%
Flavio Bolsonaro
5%
Ronaldo Caiado
4%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Samara
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 90%
Flavio Bolsonaro 5.0%
Ronaldo Caiado 3.8%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
$19,739 Vol.
$19,739 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$10,415 Vol.
90%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$1,219 Vol.
5%
Ronaldo Caiado
$579 Vol.
4%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$560 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$862 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$1,294 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$668 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$690 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$663 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$703 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$490 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$608 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$989 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position in Pará for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential first round, driven by his incumbency, established support among northern voters, and consistent polling leads over challengers like Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent state-specific surveys show the president ahead by margins outside the error range in stimulated first-round scenarios, bolstered by campaign focus on regional priorities such as infrastructure and resource policies. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns of strong PT performance in the state. Late developments, including shifts in national sentiment from institutional disputes or changes in turnout among key blocs, represent the primary variables that could narrow the gap before October voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Volume
$19,739Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position in Pará for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential first round, driven by his incumbency, established support among northern voters, and consistent polling leads over challengers like Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent state-specific surveys show the president ahead by margins outside the error range in stimulated first-round scenarios, bolstered by campaign focus on regional priorities such as infrastructure and resource policies. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns of strong PT performance in the state. Late developments, including shifts in national sentiment from institutional disputes or changes in turnout among key blocs, represent the primary variables that could narrow the gap before October voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$19,739Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding position in Pará for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential first round, driven by his incumbency, established support among northern voters, and consistent polling leads over challengers like Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent state-specific surveys show the president ahead by margins outside the error range in stimulated first-round scenarios, bolstered by campaign focus on regional priorities such as infrastructure and resource policies. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns of strong PT performance in the state. Late developments, including shifts in national sentiment from institutional disputes or changes in turnout among key blocs, represent the primary variables that could narrow the gap before October voting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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