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icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul
Pemilihan Umum·Brasil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul
Pemilihan Umum·Brasil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul

Flavio Bolsonaro 96.8%

Lula <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%

Polymarket

$10,213 Vol.

Flavio Bolsonaro 96.8%

Lula <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%

Polymarket

$10,213 Vol.

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$5,834 Vol.

97%

icon for Lula

Lula

$518 Vol.

1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$333 Vol.

1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$382 Vol.

1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$270 Vol.

1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$349 Vol.

1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$395 Vol.

1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$318 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$273 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$358 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$426 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$371 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$385 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso do Sul polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, with recent AtlasIntel and Real Time surveys showing him at 41-46% against Lula at 32-33% amid double-digit margins. This positioning stems from the state's Center-West alignment with PL-aligned candidates, reinforced by local support for Governor Eduardo Riedel and the broader consolidation of Bolsonarista voters following Jair Bolsonaro's ineligibility. Fragmented opposition fields, including Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema in low single digits, limit challenges. Late shifts among undecided voters or a major national event could narrow the gap, though current trends point to a decisive first-place finish in the state.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$10,213
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso do Sul polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, with recent AtlasIntel and Real Time surveys showing him at 41-46% against Lula at 32-33% amid double-digit margins. This positioning stems from the state's Center-West alignment with PL-aligned candidates, reinforced by local support for Governor Eduardo Riedel and the broader consolidation of Bolsonarista voters following Jair Bolsonaro's ineligibility. Fragmented opposition fields, including Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema in low single digits, limit challenges. Late shifts among undecided voters or a major national event could narrow the gap, though current trends point to a decisive first-place finish in the state.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$10,213
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?

95%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?

84%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?

95%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 13 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Flavio Bolsonaro" di 97%, diikuti oleh "Lula" di 1%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 97¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 97% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul" telah menghasilkan $10.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul," jelajahi 13 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul" adalah "Flavio Bolsonaro" di 97%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 97% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Lula" di 1%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.