Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, consistently registering 41-47% support against Lula's 28-33% in recent Real Time Big Data and Percent Brasil surveys, with all other listed candidates below 10%. The state's agricultural economy and conservative voter base have long favored bolsonarista candidates, amplified by national momentum from Supreme Court disputes involving Justice André Mendonça that have energized right-wing turnout. Trader consensus at 96% reflects this sustained double-digit margin and the absence of viable challengers capable of overtaking him locally. A major late scandal, sharp drop in evangelical or rural mobilization, or unexpected surge by fragmented right-wing alternatives like Ronaldo Caiado could narrow the gap, though no such shift has materialized in the final weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFlavio Bolsonaro 96%
Lula 2.4%
Zema <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
$10,034 Vol.
$10,034 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
96%
Lula
2%
Zema
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
1%
Renan Santos
1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Samara
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 96%
Lula 2.4%
Zema <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
$10,034 Vol.
$10,034 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3,547 Vol.
96%
Lula
$1,490 Vol.
2%
Zema
$613 Vol.
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$490 Vol.
1%
Renan Santos
$365 Vol.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$475 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$391 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$449 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$566 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$395 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$444 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$408 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$401 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, consistently registering 41-47% support against Lula's 28-33% in recent Real Time Big Data and Percent Brasil surveys, with all other listed candidates below 10%. The state's agricultural economy and conservative voter base have long favored bolsonarista candidates, amplified by national momentum from Supreme Court disputes involving Justice André Mendonça that have energized right-wing turnout. Trader consensus at 96% reflects this sustained double-digit margin and the absence of viable challengers capable of overtaking him locally. A major late scandal, sharp drop in evangelical or rural mobilization, or unexpected surge by fragmented right-wing alternatives like Ronaldo Caiado could narrow the gap, though no such shift has materialized in the final weeks.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
Volume
$10,034Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, consistently registering 41-47% support against Lula's 28-33% in recent Real Time Big Data and Percent Brasil surveys, with all other listed candidates below 10%. The state's agricultural economy and conservative voter base have long favored bolsonarista candidates, amplified by national momentum from Supreme Court disputes involving Justice André Mendonça that have energized right-wing turnout. Trader consensus at 96% reflects this sustained double-digit margin and the absence of viable challengers capable of overtaking him locally. A major late scandal, sharp drop in evangelical or rural mobilization, or unexpected surge by fragmented right-wing alternatives like Ronaldo Caiado could narrow the gap, though no such shift has materialized in the final weeks.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$10,034Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, consistently registering 41-47% support against Lula's 28-33% in recent Real Time Big Data and Percent Brasil surveys, with all other listed candidates below 10%. The state's agricultural economy and conservative voter base have long favored bolsonarista candidates, amplified by national momentum from Supreme Court disputes involving Justice André Mendonça that have energized right-wing turnout. Trader consensus at 96% reflects this sustained double-digit margin and the absence of viable challengers capable of overtaking him locally. A major late scandal, sharp drop in evangelical or rural mobilization, or unexpected surge by fragmented right-wing alternatives like Ronaldo Caiado could narrow the gap, though no such shift has materialized in the final weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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