Lula maintains a commanding lead in Maranhão for first place in the October 4 first round, driven by the state's status as a Northeast stronghold where PT alignments and federal policy priorities have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent state-level surveys. An August Quaest poll showed the president at 58% against 20% for Flávio Bolsonaro, with all other listed candidates at 2% or below and government approval near 66%. Traders reflect this positioning through the elevated odds, consistent with historical voting patterns in the region and high reported firmness among respondents. A late surge by a challenger or major shift in the remaining undecided share could still narrow the gap, though the scale of the current lead and proximity to voting limit realistic pathways for reversal.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Maranhão
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Maranhão
Lula 98.2%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Flavio Bolsonaro <1%
Samara <1%
$11,996 Vol.
$11,996 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
98%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
1%
Samara
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 98.2%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Flavio Bolsonaro <1%
Samara <1%
$11,996 Vol.
$11,996 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$5,484 Vol.
98%
Ronaldo Caiado
$486 Vol.
1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$638 Vol.
1%
Samara
$514 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$566 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$596 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$533 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$514 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$596 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$587 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$587 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$422 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$475 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Maranhão for first place in the October 4 first round, driven by the state's status as a Northeast stronghold where PT alignments and federal policy priorities have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent state-level surveys. An August Quaest poll showed the president at 58% against 20% for Flávio Bolsonaro, with all other listed candidates at 2% or below and government approval near 66%. Traders reflect this positioning through the elevated odds, consistent with historical voting patterns in the region and high reported firmness among respondents. A late surge by a challenger or major shift in the remaining undecided share could still narrow the gap, though the scale of the current lead and proximity to voting limit realistic pathways for reversal.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Volume
$11,996Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Maranhão for first place in the October 4 first round, driven by the state's status as a Northeast stronghold where PT alignments and federal policy priorities have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent state-level surveys. An August Quaest poll showed the president at 58% against 20% for Flávio Bolsonaro, with all other listed candidates at 2% or below and government approval near 66%. Traders reflect this positioning through the elevated odds, consistent with historical voting patterns in the region and high reported firmness among respondents. A late surge by a challenger or major shift in the remaining undecided share could still narrow the gap, though the scale of the current lead and proximity to voting limit realistic pathways for reversal.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$11,996Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Maranhão for first place in the October 4 first round, driven by the state's status as a Northeast stronghold where PT alignments and federal policy priorities have produced consistent double-digit margins in recent state-level surveys. An August Quaest poll showed the president at 58% against 20% for Flávio Bolsonaro, with all other listed candidates at 2% or below and government approval near 66%. Traders reflect this positioning through the elevated odds, consistent with historical voting patterns in the region and high reported firmness among respondents. A late surge by a challenger or major shift in the remaining undecided share could still narrow the gap, though the scale of the current lead and proximity to voting limit realistic pathways for reversal.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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