Brazil’s central bank delivered the widely anticipated 25-basis-point Selic cut to 14.25% at its June 17 Copom meeting, extending the gradual easing cycle that began in March amid inflation at 4.72% in May—above the 3% target but stable enough for measured policy adjustment. Resilient domestic activity, a tight labor market, and 1.1% first-quarter GDP growth supported the move, while elevated 2026 inflation expectations near 5% and external uncertainties from energy prices kept the pace cautious. Market-implied odds heavily favored the reduction given consistent economist surveys and prior guidance. A sharper inflation spike from geopolitical supply shocks or unexpectedly robust demand could still prompt a pause in future meetings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBank of Brazil Decision in June?
Bank of Brazil Decision in June?
Decrease 100.0%
Increase <1%
No Change <1%
$416,689 Vol.
$416,689 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
Increase
No
No Change
No
Decrease
Yes
Decrease 100.0%
Increase <1%
No Change <1%
$416,689 Vol.
$416,689 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
Increase
$104,081 Vol.
No
No Change
$144,484 Vol.
No
Decrease
$168,124 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Brazil’s central bank delivered the widely anticipated 25-basis-point Selic cut to 14.25% at its June 17 Copom meeting, extending the gradual easing cycle that began in March amid inflation at 4.72% in May—above the 3% target but stable enough for measured policy adjustment. Resilient domestic activity, a tight labor market, and 1.1% first-quarter GDP growth supported the move, while elevated 2026 inflation expectations near 5% and external uncertainties from energy prices kept the pace cautious. Market-implied odds heavily favored the reduction given consistent economist surveys and prior guidance. A sharper inflation spike from geopolitical supply shocks or unexpectedly robust demand could still prompt a pause in future meetings.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$416,689Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Brazil’s central bank delivered the widely anticipated 25-basis-point Selic cut to 14.25% at its June 17 Copom meeting, extending the gradual easing cycle that began in March amid inflation at 4.72% in May—above the 3% target but stable enough for measured policy adjustment. Resilient domestic activity, a tight labor market, and 1.1% first-quarter GDP growth supported the move, while elevated 2026 inflation expectations near 5% and external uncertainties from energy prices kept the pace cautious. Market-implied odds heavily favored the reduction given consistent economist surveys and prior guidance. A sharper inflation spike from geopolitical supply shocks or unexpectedly robust demand could still prompt a pause in future meetings.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$416,689Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Brazil’s central bank delivered the widely anticipated 25-basis-point Selic cut to 14.25% at its June 17 Copom meeting, extending the gradual easing cycle that began in March amid inflation at 4.72% in May—above the 3% target but stable enough for measured policy adjustment. Resilient domestic activity, a tight labor market, and 1.1% first-quarter GDP growth supported the move, while elevated 2026 inflation expectations near 5% and external uncertainties from energy prices kept the pace cautious. Market-implied odds heavily favored the reduction given consistent economist surveys and prior guidance. A sharper inflation spike from geopolitical supply shocks or unexpectedly robust demand could still prompt a pause in future meetings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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