Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,498, trades within an inflation-adjusted crawling band introduced in January 2026 that widens monthly in line with lagged CPI prints. Persistent though decelerating inflation—monthly rates near 1.9% as of June and full-year 2026 forecasts of 14–18%—continues to pressure gradual peso depreciation while the central bank prioritizes reserve accumulation to meet sizable 2026 external debt service. Analyst projections for year-end levels cluster around 1,510–1,730, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 1,600+ bucket as the baseline outcome under the current regime. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases, BCRA dollar purchases, and any shifts in fiscal or IMF-related financing conditions that could alter band dynamics or real exchange-rate pressures.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui1600.00+ 65%
1500.00–1549.99 12.3%
1550.00–1599.99 10.2%
1450.00–1499.99 8.0%
BARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2026
<1250.00
<1%
1250.00–1299.99
<1%
1300.00–1349.99
<1%
1350.00–1399.99
<1%
1400.00–1449.99
4%
1450.00–1499.99
8%
1500.00–1549.99
12%
1550.00–1599.99
10%
1600.00+
65%
1600.00+ 65%
1500.00–1549.99 12.3%
1550.00–1599.99 10.2%
1450.00–1499.99 8.0%
BARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2026
<1250.00
$526 Vol.
<1%
1250.00–1299.99
$779 Vol.
<1%
1300.00–1349.99
$672 Vol.
<1%
1350.00–1399.99
$712 Vol.
<1%
1400.00–1449.99
$1,239 Vol.
4%
1450.00–1499.99
$1,242 Vol.
8%
1500.00–1549.99
$1,171 Vol.
12%
1550.00–1599.99
$688 Vol.
10%
1600.00+
$1,901 Vol.
65%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,498, trades within an inflation-adjusted crawling band introduced in January 2026 that widens monthly in line with lagged CPI prints. Persistent though decelerating inflation—monthly rates near 1.9% as of June and full-year 2026 forecasts of 14–18%—continues to pressure gradual peso depreciation while the central bank prioritizes reserve accumulation to meet sizable 2026 external debt service. Analyst projections for year-end levels cluster around 1,510–1,730, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 1,600+ bucket as the baseline outcome under the current regime. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases, BCRA dollar purchases, and any shifts in fiscal or IMF-related financing conditions that could alter band dynamics or real exchange-rate pressures.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Volume
$8,929Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,498, trades within an inflation-adjusted crawling band introduced in January 2026 that widens monthly in line with lagged CPI prints. Persistent though decelerating inflation—monthly rates near 1.9% as of June and full-year 2026 forecasts of 14–18%—continues to pressure gradual peso depreciation while the central bank prioritizes reserve accumulation to meet sizable 2026 external debt service. Analyst projections for year-end levels cluster around 1,510–1,730, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 1,600+ bucket as the baseline outcome under the current regime. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases, BCRA dollar purchases, and any shifts in fiscal or IMF-related financing conditions that could alter band dynamics or real exchange-rate pressures.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$8,929Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,498, trades within an inflation-adjusted crawling band introduced in January 2026 that widens monthly in line with lagged CPI prints. Persistent though decelerating inflation—monthly rates near 1.9% as of June and full-year 2026 forecasts of 14–18%—continues to pressure gradual peso depreciation while the central bank prioritizes reserve accumulation to meet sizable 2026 external debt service. Analyst projections for year-end levels cluster around 1,510–1,730, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 1,600+ bucket as the baseline outcome under the current regime. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases, BCRA dollar purchases, and any shifts in fiscal or IMF-related financing conditions that could alter band dynamics or real exchange-rate pressures.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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