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icon for archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?
Geopolitik·Hack

archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?

icon for archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?
Geopolitik·Hack

archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?

<1% peluang
Polymarket

$122,601 Vol.

<1% peluang
Polymarket

$122,601 Vol.

On November 18, massive internet service outages were reported by Cloudflare affecting a wide variety of popular services, including X, ChatGPT, and others. You can read more about that here: https://www.independent.co.uk/tech/cloudflare-down-twitter-not-working-outage-b2867367.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the mentioned November 18, 2025 outages were caused by a hack, and that that hack was perpetrated by a state actor, by November 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. "A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the outage. A "state actor" is defined as an entity whose actions are legally or politically attributable to a sovereign state. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from relevant companies and governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

On November 18, massive internet service outages were reported by Cloudflare affecting a wide variety of popular services, including X, ChatGPT, and others. You can read more about that here: https://www.independent.co.uk/tech/cloudflare-down-twitter-not-working-outage-b2867367.html

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the mentioned November 18, 2025 outages were caused by a hack, and that that hack was perpetrated by a state actor, by November 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

"A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the outage.

A "state actor" is defined as an entity whose actions are legally or politically attributable to a sovereign state.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from relevant companies and governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$122,601
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 21, 2025
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 18, 2025, 1:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On November 18, massive internet service outages were reported by Cloudflare affecting a wide variety of popular services, including X, ChatGPT, and others. You can read more about that here: https://www.independent.co.uk/tech/cloudflare-down-twitter-not-working-outage-b2867367.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the mentioned November 18, 2025 outages were caused by a hack, and that that hack was perpetrated by a state actor, by November 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. "A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the outage. A "state actor" is defined as an entity whose actions are legally or politically attributable to a sovereign state. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from relevant companies and governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

On November 18, massive internet service outages were reported by Cloudflare affecting a wide variety of popular services, including X, ChatGPT, and others. You can read more about that here: https://www.independent.co.uk/tech/cloudflare-down-twitter-not-working-outage-b2867367.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the mentioned November 18, 2025 outages were caused by a hack, and that that hack was perpetrated by a state actor, by November 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. "A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the outage. A "state actor" is defined as an entity whose actions are legally or politically attributable to a sovereign state. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from relevant companies and governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

On November 18, massive internet service outages were reported by Cloudflare affecting a wide variety of popular services, including X, ChatGPT, and others. You can read more about that here: https://www.independent.co.uk/tech/cloudflare-down-twitter-not-working-outage-b2867367.html

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the mentioned November 18, 2025 outages were caused by a hack, and that that hack was perpetrated by a state actor, by November 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

"A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the outage.

A "state actor" is defined as an entity whose actions are legally or politically attributable to a sovereign state.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from relevant companies and governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$122,601
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 21, 2025
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 18, 2025, 1:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On November 18, massive internet service outages were reported by Cloudflare affecting a wide variety of popular services, including X, ChatGPT, and others. You can read more about that here: https://www.independent.co.uk/tech/cloudflare-down-twitter-not-working-outage-b2867367.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the mentioned November 18, 2025 outages were caused by a hack, and that that hack was perpetrated by a state actor, by November 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. "A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the outage. A "state actor" is defined as an entity whose actions are legally or politically attributable to a sovereign state. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from relevant companies and governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 0% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 0¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 0% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?" telah menghasilkan $122.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 18, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?" adalah 0% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 0% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.