Incumbent Republican Rep. French Hill's dominant March 3 primary victory over challenger Chase McDowell (77%-23%) has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for the Republican Party in Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District, an R+8 seat per Cook Partisan Voter Index where Hill previously won with 59% in 2024. Democrat Chris Jones, the 2022 gubernatorial nominee who lost decisively statewide, advanced easily in his primary but trails significantly in fundraising with $114,000 cash-on-hand versus Hill's $2.66 million as of late March. Absent polling, the district's Republican lean, Hill's incumbency, and historical midterm patterns for safe seats underpin the heavy favoritism ahead of the November 3 general election, though national trends or scandals could shift dynamics.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAR-02 House Election Winner
AR-02 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
12%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,898 Vol.
88%
Democratic Party
$4,839 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. French Hill's dominant March 3 primary victory over challenger Chase McDowell (77%-23%) has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for the Republican Party in Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District, an R+8 seat per Cook Partisan Voter Index where Hill previously won with 59% in 2024. Democrat Chris Jones, the 2022 gubernatorial nominee who lost decisively statewide, advanced easily in his primary but trails significantly in fundraising with $114,000 cash-on-hand versus Hill's $2.66 million as of late March. Absent polling, the district's Republican lean, Hill's incumbency, and historical midterm patterns for safe seats underpin the heavy favoritism ahead of the November 3 general election, though national trends or scandals could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$6,738Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. French Hill's dominant March 3 primary victory over challenger Chase McDowell (77%-23%) has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for the Republican Party in Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District, an R+8 seat per Cook Partisan Voter Index where Hill previously won with 59% in 2024. Democrat Chris Jones, the 2022 gubernatorial nominee who lost decisively statewide, advanced easily in his primary but trails significantly in fundraising with $114,000 cash-on-hand versus Hill's $2.66 million as of late March. Absent polling, the district's Republican lean, Hill's incumbency, and historical midterm patterns for safe seats underpin the heavy favoritism ahead of the November 3 general election, though national trends or scandals could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,738Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. French Hill's dominant March 3 primary victory over challenger Chase McDowell (77%-23%) has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for the Republican Party in Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District, an R+8 seat per Cook Partisan Voter Index where Hill previously won with 59% in 2024. Democrat Chris Jones, the 2022 gubernatorial nominee who lost decisively statewide, advanced easily in his primary but trails significantly in fundraising with $114,000 cash-on-hand versus Hill's $2.66 million as of late March. Absent polling, the district's Republican lean, Hill's incumbency, and historical midterm patterns for safe seats underpin the heavy favoritism ahead of the November 3 general election, though national trends or scandals could shift dynamics.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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