Ivory Coast’s perfect start in Group C, with convincing wins over Ghana and Somalia, underpins trader consensus around their 82.5% implied probability as group winner. The reigning continental champions have secured clean sheets while showcasing squad depth and attacking options that outclass the rest of the group. Gambia’s six points and notable comeback victory against Ghana have lifted their chances to 14.1%, reflecting strong early momentum and set-piece threat. Ghana’s back-to-back defeats, including a collapse from a two-goal lead at home, have sharply reduced their prospects to 4.3%, while Somalia remain winless with minimal scoring output. Remaining fixtures, including direct clashes between the top two sides, will test whether Ivory Coast’s quality sustains their lead or if Gambia can capitalize on home advantage and current form.