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icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?

ChatGPT 100.0%

TikTok Pro - Events <1%

ParentSquare <1%

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace <1%

Polymarket

$5,342 Vol.

ChatGPT 100.0%

TikTok Pro - Events <1%

ParentSquare <1%

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace <1%

Polymarket

$5,342 Vol.

icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$1,347 Vol.

No

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$979 Vol.

Yes

icon for ParentSquare

ParentSquare

$237 Vol.

No

icon for Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

$343 Vol.

No

icon for Threads

Threads

$1,002 Vol.

No

icon for 7 Brew Coffee

7 Brew Coffee

$1,435 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT's 100% market-implied odds stem from its established position as the leading artificial intelligence chatbot, fueled by OpenAI's ongoing large language model improvements, high daily engagement, and seamless iOS integration that keeps it at the top of free app charts. Traders view this as skin-in-the-game consensus on sustained user adoption amid a competitive AI landscape. Realistic scenarios that could disrupt the outcome include a surprise feature launch or viral update from a rival app, regulatory changes impacting app store rankings, or a temporary technical issue reducing visibility on August 21.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$5,342
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT's 100% market-implied odds stem from its established position as the leading artificial intelligence chatbot, fueled by OpenAI's ongoing large language model improvements, high daily engagement, and seamless iOS integration that keeps it at the top of free app charts. Traders view this as skin-in-the-game consensus on sustained user adoption amid a competitive AI landscape. Realistic scenarios that could disrupt the outcome include a surprise feature launch or viral update from a rival app, regulatory changes impacting app store rankings, or a temporary technical issue reducing visibility on August 21.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$5,342
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "ChatGPT" di 100%, diikuti oleh "TikTok Pro - Events" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 14, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?" adalah "ChatGPT" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "TikTok Pro - Events" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.