tetlock
Bergabung Mar 2026·0 tampilan
$123.04
Nilai Posisi
$1.69
Kemenangan Terbesar
19
Prediksi
Untung/Rugi
Hari Terakhir
Saat Ini

Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?
Yes 49¢
27.3 saham49¢
94.5¢
$25.77$12.41 (92.86%)

Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?
Yes 49¢
27.3 saham$25.77$12.41 (92.86%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 56¢
47.7 saham56¢
46.5¢
$22.19-$4.53 (-16.96%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 56¢
47.7 saham$22.19-$4.53 (-16.96%)

Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Yes 70¢
19.1 saham$14.60$1.24 (9.29%)

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
No 71¢
18.8 saham$13.64$0.28 (2.11%)

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Yes 44¢
30.4 saham$12.15-$1.21 (-9.09%)

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
No 45¢
29.7 saham45¢
33¢
$9.80-$3.56 (-26.67%)

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
No 45¢
29.7 saham$9.80-$3.56 (-26.67%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
No 55¢
23.6 saham$8.63-$4.37 (-33.64%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 86¢
2.3 saham$1.92-$0.08 (-4.07%)

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
No 63.1¢
3.2 saham$1.85-$0.15 (-7.53%)

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Yes 74.9¢
2.8 saham74.9¢
22¢
$0.63-$1.50 (-70.63%)

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Yes 74.9¢
2.8 saham$0.63-$1.50 (-70.63%)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?
Yes 28¢
6.4 saham$0.51-$1.29 (-71.43%)
