France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाफ्रांस 19.7%
स्पेन 13.7%
इंग्लैंड 12.7%
अर्जेंटीना 11.8%
$2,744,992,632 वॉल्यूम
$2,744,992,632 वॉल्यूम
फ्रांस
20%
स्पेन
14%
इंग्लैंड
13%
अर्जेंटीना
12%
पुर्तगाल
7%
जर्मनी
6%
ब्राज़ील
6%
नीदरलैंड
4%
अमेरिका
3%
मोरक्को
3%
नॉर्वे
2%
कोलंबिया
2%
बेल्जियम
2%
जापान
1%
मेक्सिको
1%
स्विट्ज़रलैंड
1%
क्रोएशिया
1%
उरुग्वे
1%
सेनेगल
1%
आइवरी कोस्ट
<1%
ऑस्ट्रिया
<1%
स्वीडन
<1%
दक्षिण कोरिया
<1%
कनाडा
<1%
इक्वाडोर
<1%
ऑस्ट्रेलिया
<1%
मिस्र
<1%
घाना
<1%
पराग्वे
<1%
स्कॉटलैंड
<1%
कांगो डीआर
<1%
न्यूज़ीलैंड
<1%
जॉर्डन
<1%
क्यूरासाओ
<1%
ईरान
<1%
अल्जीरिया
<1%
बोस्निया-हर्जेगोविना
<1%
ट्यूनिशिया
<1%
उज़्बेकिस्तान
<1%
पनामा
<1%
इराक
<1%
दक्षिण अफ्रीका
<1%
केप वर्दे
<1%
चेकिया
<1%
कतर
<1%
सऊदी अरब
<1%
फ्रांस 19.7%
स्पेन 13.7%
इंग्लैंड 12.7%
अर्जेंटीना 11.8%
$2,744,992,632 वॉल्यूम
$2,744,992,632 वॉल्यूम
फ्रांस
20%
स्पेन
14%
इंग्लैंड
13%
अर्जेंटीना
12%
पुर्तगाल
7%
जर्मनी
6%
ब्राज़ील
6%
नीदरलैंड
4%
अमेरिका
3%
मोरक्को
3%
नॉर्वे
2%
कोलंबिया
2%
बेल्जियम
2%
जापान
1%
मेक्सिको
1%
स्विट्ज़रलैंड
1%
क्रोएशिया
1%
उरुग्वे
1%
सेनेगल
1%
आइवरी कोस्ट
<1%
ऑस्ट्रिया
<1%
स्वीडन
<1%
दक्षिण कोरिया
<1%
कनाडा
<1%
इक्वाडोर
<1%
ऑस्ट्रेलिया
<1%
मिस्र
<1%
घाना
<1%
पराग्वे
<1%
स्कॉटलैंड
<1%
कांगो डीआर
<1%
न्यूज़ीलैंड
<1%
जॉर्डन
<1%
क्यूरासाओ
<1%
ईरान
<1%
अल्जीरिया
<1%
बोस्निया-हर्जेगोविना
<1%
ट्यूनिशिया
<1%
उज़्बेकिस्तान
<1%
पनामा
<1%
इराक
<1%
दक्षिण अफ्रीका
<1%
केप वर्दे
<1%
चेकिया
<1%
कतर
<1%
सऊदी अरब
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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